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Here’s My Trading Plan for 2020

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 2/2/2021 11 min read

My trading plan for 2020 is gonna be a little different. I’ll get into that in a moment.

First…

Happy New Year!

And thank you. I’m grateful for everybody who reads this blog, for my students, employees, and family. Each of you has helped us to help more people. Through Karmagawa … and also through teaching people about the stock market and my niche strategy.

Now, let’s make 2020 the best year ever!

My Trading Plan for 2020

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In the past, I’ve started each new year with a small account. I re-start my trading accounts with just $12K every January. Read this for more about how I put myself in a figurative prison to start every year.

Why $12K? Because that’s how much I had in my account when I started trading in high school. But it’s also WAY under the PDT rule, which limits anyone with under $25,000 in their trading account from taking more than three trades per week.

The reason I go back to a small account every January is because most students only have small accounts. It forces me to be a better teacher — to focus on the process. And teaching the process is important.

One of the biggest lessons I can give you is this…

To Do Big Things, You Have to Start Small

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When you want to do big things, you have to start small. Whether it’s in the stock market, giving back through charity, or any other part of your life … start small. Then scale up. Find what works.

Let me give you an example…

With Karmagawa, we made two documentaries in the last two years. That works. And now I have a lot of trusted videographers who can help me. And I’m grateful for that. We started small. Now, as it continues to grow, other people can take on more. And I’m grateful for that.

Start Small and Focus on the Process

If you’re just starting as a trader, it’s better to start small. You shouldn’t expect profits right away. Instead, you should focus on learning. You should focus on paper trading using StocksToTrade. Focus on the process.

All my top students did this. Tim Grittani, Mark Croock, Michael Goode — they all worked hard on the process first. The up-and-comers like Huddie, Jackaroo, Kyle, and Dominic … they’re the same. (And there are many others who prefer their privacy.)

So, my trading with a small account helps those of you with small accounts learn the process. And I’ll keep doing it.

But there’s also…

The Next Step

In an ideal world, you learn how to grow a small account. But what happens next?

As you grow your small account, you gain experience. You gain knowledge. You get comfortable risking more on a trade. If you focus on the process and follow the rules, eventually you start making bigger profits.

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And this is where trading can get really fun.

When there’s an amazing play, with big volume and the right catalyst (and you already have a solid process) it’s possible to make pretty incredible money. It’s exciting.

Some Are Already There

It’s pretty cool that I now have students at so many different levels of experience. Yes, there are a lot of beginners. But I also have several millionaire students. Others trade with $500K, $200K, or $100K accounts.

For those students, watching me trade the last few years hasn’t been as useful as it is to those with small accounts. And I’ve thought about this a lot. More on that in a moment.

First…

… I have a confession to make.

Trading With a Small Account Is Boring

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I admit it. It’s boring. You have to remember I’ve been trading now for over 20 years. So while trading with a small account helps those of you with small accounts learn the process…

… I haven’t had my heart race much lately. It’s difficult to get really excited about a trade.

So I’m making a shift in 2020. To be better. On all levels.

Optimizing My Process for 2020

Every year I try to optimize my process. I always try to improve as a teacher. I’m refining. Even when using social media to spread awareness of charity I’m working to optimize.

So here’s what I’m gonna do…

Because I’m trying to optimize my process…

… and because I have students trading with small accounts and students trading with big accounts…

… and because I want to give more to charity…

I’m Trading With Two Accounts in 2020

The last year I traded with a big account was 2014. That year I made over $840K in profits — trading big. But I’ve been teaching for over 10 years now so a lot of people have asked for this.

This video explains a little more about my decision to trade with two accounts in 2020:

Before you read the rest of the post … I’ve changed my mind. I’m going to start the big account with $500K instead of $1 million. Keep reading to see why — it’s a good lesson.

Letting Myself Out of Prison — At Least Halfway

So unlike the last few years where I basically checked myself into prison in order to trade with a small account, this year I get to do both. Most of the time I’ll trade with a small account. But every now and then…

… when there’s an amazing play that scores high on my Trader Checklist guide…

… and I want to trade big…

… I’m gonna go bigger.

Trading Plan 2020: Bring Back the Fun

The fun of trading is when you make a lot of money. When you can make $30K or $50K in a day — that’s exciting. When I trade with a small account, that’s just not possible. It’s tough to make more than $1K or $2K a day. (That’s not bad money. It keeps the real job away, right?)

So my trading plan for 2020 … let’s just say it’s gonna be interesting. Especially trading from some of the countries where I barely have internet. It’ll be exciting to risk a bigger position size and have the internet go off. Here’s how it’s gonna work…

How Trading Two Accounts Will Work

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Let’s start with the numbers…

The small account will start the year with $12K — just like in past years. That account will be under the PDT rule. The big account will start with $500K, and I’ll be free to go big when the right play comes along.

At first, my trading plan was to go with a $1 million account to start the year — as I said in the video above. Thing is … I’m rusty trading with a big account. I might take it up to $1 million at some point. But first I’m gonna find my footing with $500K because trading big is very different from trading small. Read this for more about trading a small vs. a big account.

Some Thoughts About the $500K Account

I’m not saying I’m gonna go all-in with the $500K account. It’s not what I teach. And, frankly, it would be crazy considering how rusty I am trading a big account. But I might put $50K into a trade. Or even as much as $100K. And with those kinds of trades, I can make a lot more — $10K, $15K, maybe even $20K in a day.

But I’m gonna be very meticulous. Those trades won’t come around every day — or even every week. But every now and then a beautiful, ideal supernova will come along and I will go big.

With Bigger Positions Come Bigger Risks

I’ll still take losses. Just because I decide to go big doesn’t mean it’s a gimme. There are no guarantees that I’ll win. So be prepared. Along with bigger wins, you’ll see bigger losses. Of course, I’ll still try to cut losses quickly, but with bigger positions come bigger risks.

We’ll Track Both Accounts

We’ll track both accounts, and just as in years past, all the money I make from trading will go to charity. (This year I made roughly $125,000 — all going to charity.) Big account, small account … I’ll just add it up at the end of the year. And that way, 2020 will be a little different.

How My 2020 Trading Plan Will Affect Alerts

I’ve always said it’s a bad idea to use my alerts to get into a trade. That goes for anyone’s alerts, not just mine. I alert so you understand my thought process. Trading with two accounts won’t be any different.

When I send out an alert I’ll say, “This is the big account” or “this is the small account.” 

About Video Lessons

I’ll make video lessons for the big account and the small account. And they’ll go right into the video lesson library. (That’s now over 6,000 video lessons and counting.) So no matter what level you’re at, as long as you’re a Pennystocking Silver or Trading Challenge member you’ll be able to watch the lessons.

Why I’ll Trade With Two Accounts in 2020

It comes down to serving everybody — all my students — in the best way possible. I’ll trade the small account so you can learn the process … and then the big account for people with big accounts. But also for my own personal entertainment.

Plus, there will be more to give to charity at the end of the year…

It’s an Honor to Give Back

I’m really excited to trade with a big account again. One of the main reasons is so I can give back more with my charity, Karmagawa. We’ve now donated over $4 million in the last three years.

As always, for those of you who support us — thank you. If you’re interested in getting some of the new Karmagawa merch at a 50% savings…

Go visit the Karmagawa store and use the code: happyholidays (all one word, all lowercase).

Welcome to 2020!

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Again, Happy New Year! I hope you’re excited to make 2020 an amazing year — I am. Hopefully, you had a good New Year’s Eve and you’re ready to get back to work.

Enjoy today … but also study. When the markets re-open tomorrow morning … it’s gonna be fun!

What do you think of my 2020 trading plan? Comment below, I love to hear from you!


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”