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Tilray Brands Inc.: Is It Too Late to Buy TLRY After Recent Acquisition?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Several news headlines are driving the current market sentiment for Tilray Brands Inc., with the company’s stock trading down by -3.98 percent on Tuesday. Key influences include mixed performance, industry headwinds, and potential regulatory pressures. Investors are closely watching these developments as they suggest cautious market movements and potential volatility for the cannabis company.

  • Shares fell 1.8% after completing the acquisition of craft breweries from Molson Coors, contrasting with gains in consumer staples and real estate.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 13:32:24 EST: On Tuesday, October 01, 2024 Tilray Brands Inc. stock [NASDAQ: TLRY] is trending down by -3.98%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick overview of Tilray Brands Inc.’s recent earnings

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The recent earnings report revealed some interesting numbers for Tilray Brands Inc. Revenue stood at $229.88M, but the total expenses were significantly higher at $242.78M. This means the company isn’t just struggling; it’s losing about $12.89M more than it makes. Quite a gap, isn’t it? The net income from continuing operations was at a loss of $15.38M. However, it’s not all dark clouds. The gross profit was $82.35M, showing that there are areas where Tilray is performing well.

On the balance sheet, Tilray has total assets of $4.22B against total liabilities of $778.49M, which paints a picture that the company has substantial assets but needs to manage its expenses better. Cash equivalents stand at $228.34M. Total equity gross minority interest is quite high at about $3.44B. So, despite high liabilities, there’s a good amount of equity.

Key ratios help us understand Tilray’s profitability. For example, the EBIT margin is -5.70%, suggesting they’re not yet making money on their core operations. The pretax profit margin is a concerning -94.70%, meaning before taxes, the company is losing almost all of its profit. The current ratio is 2.30, implying the company should be able to cover its short-term obligations. However, the valuation looks tricky with a price-to-book ratio of 0.43, showing the market doesn’t value the company’s book value highly yet.

How recent acquisition affects TLRY market

The acquisition of craft breweries from Molson Coors is an attempt to diversify Tilray’s product portfolio. This move comes with risks and rewards. Investors reacted negatively, dropping shares by 1.8%. Maybe they were spooked by how this new venture might drag down profits in the short term. Think of it like jumping into a new hobby—you’ve got passion, but it will cost you before it pays off.

However, there is a silver lining. Diversification can help buffer against market volatility. By adding craft breweries, Tilray might tap a new revenue stream, especially if they can integrate and optimize these assets effectively. The market can be fickle, and a negative initial reaction might give way to positive sentiment once the benefits kick in.

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Insights into recent stock values

Looking at the stock prices over multiple days, there is some fluctuation but no major jumps that can be tied to significant positive sentiment. On 03 Sep 2024, the high was only $1.77, down from $1.85 on 30 Sep 2024, reflecting the market’s caution. Have you ever been on a roller coaster that seems to go slow, only to drop suddenly? This slow drop in prices is somewhat like that—building tension.

The key financial metrics sum up what investors are dealing with.

  • Revenue Growth: $788.94M. While this shows the company is making money, remember, it’s spending even more. Always keeps in mind the famous saying, “Revenue is vanity, profit is sanity.”

  • Gross Margin: 25.2%. This is decent compared to some competitors. However, when you dig into other ratios like pretax profit margin (-94.7%), you see how costs erode profits.

  • Enterprise Value: $1.41B. The enterprise value gives a holistic view of the company’s valuation, considering both debt and equity. It’s good to look at this to understand potential takeover or investment scenarios.

In conclusion, the market’s reaction to the acquisition reflects uncertainty. Investors will need clear indications of how the new assets perform before we see a significant positive swing in TLRY stock prices.

Why it matters for the future

Tilray’s strategic moves, including acquisitions, reveal much about its evolving business model. Craft brewery acquisitions symbolize a significant shift from being solely focused on cannabis. Imagine a football team strengthening its midfield while also improving defense—the strategy is to become more well-rounded.

Historically, diversification can provide stability in turbulent times. However, it requires careful management. Initial market reactions may be wary, considering the cash burn and integration risks. Financial strength will be tested in the coming months.

Conclusion

Is it too late to buy Tilray Brands Inc. stock? Well, the recent acquisition led to a dip. However, if the craft brewery venture stabilizes and profitability metrics improve, the long-term outlook could be positive. For now, the stock is a roller coaster—one best approached with caution, but with a noteworthy potential upside.

Given the recent earnings, the company’s robust asset base, and strategic moves, Tilray’s stock presents both risks and opportunities. While the market’s initial reaction to the acquisition was negative, the diversified portfolio could pay off in the long run if managed well. For those willing to ride the highs and lows, monitoring these developments closely will be crucial.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”