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Is It Too Late for SoFi? Analysts Weigh In After Stock Dips

Ellis HobbsAvatar
Written by Ellis Hobbs
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

SoFi Technologies Inc. may face market volatility as they adjust to recent changes in executive leadership, which could impact strategic direction and investor confidence. On Thursday, SoFi Technologies Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -8.25 percent.

Key Developments Affecting SOFI Stock

  • BofA has downgraded SoFi Technologies to “Underperform” following a sharp increase in its stock price.
  • Keefe Bruyette also downgraded SoFi, expressing concerns about overly high valuation despite recent achievements.
  • Analysts have anticipated a significant stock adjustment, setting a price target at $12, indicating skepticism about sustained growth.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:20:09 EST: On Thursday, January 02, 2025 SoFi Technologies Inc. stock [NASDAQ: SOFI] is trending down by -8.25%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Financial Performance Overview

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “The goal is not to win every trade but to protect your capital and keep moving forward.” This quote underscores the importance of strategic decision-making in trading. It’s a reminder that while making successful trades is desirable, the primary objective should be the preservation and growth of your trading capital. By focusing on this larger goal, traders can maintain a long-term perspective and continue to make progress, even in the face of inevitable setbacks.

SoFi Technologies, a name synonymous with financial innovation, recently wrapped its Q3 2024 earnings report displaying both triumphs and trials. In a realm where numbers speak louder than words, SoFi recorded total revenue of approximately $2.11B. Although admirable, what’s hidden beneath is almost more telling.

With a diluted EPS of $0.05, the winds have shifted on how investors should value this company—balancing between future potential and current financial strain. EBIT margin stands at a concerning -8.2%, raising eyebrows about potential profitability. These numbers point toward an operation fighting margins on rough seas.

More Breaking News

SoFi has maneuvered through a financial gauntlet, with a total debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54. This figure prompts both skepticism and optimism. While some see financial flexibility, others sense a hint of imbalance. But what truly intrigues analysts? SoFi’s cash flow narrative, with operating cash flow sitting at a distressing -$1.17B. It’s clear—SoFi, for all its growth, holds intricate financial dynamics.

What Do the Numbers Say?

The raw numbers paint an intricate picture. Share prices have fluctuated like a wind-tossed sea. From an open at $15 on Jan 2, 2025, SOFI closed at $14.13, marking a significant fall.

Traders have navigated through stormy intraday waters as well—the high at $15.11 contrasts deeply with the closing price at $14.13. Short-term pressures seem muzzled in uncertainty.

Delving deeper, key ratios refute simplistic judgments. Facades of impressive revenue growth meet counterbalancing forces like a negative return on assets at -1.72%. Moreover, the negative return on equity at -7% paints a nuanced canvas—investors are left to juggle between faith and doubt.

In terms of valuation, a price-to-book ratio of 1.95 might tempt those believing in a discounted opportunity. Yet, the absence of a meaningful P/E ratio underscores ongoing operational challenges.

The Downgrade Dilemma

Market observers were keenly attuned to analysts’ decisions. Both BofA and Keefe Bruyette rang alarm bells that reverberated through trading floors. Overvaluation became the accused figure, sparking debate on whether recent pricing was a bubble waiting to burst. This perceived inconsistency in value versus price has left room for speculation.

Such downgrades are not devoid of rapport. Analysts cited SoFi’s surge beyond foundational beta values, challenging the longevity of its stock rally. The pronounced influence of these motions left SoFi crestfallen and investors watching with bated breath.

The $12 target set by BofA doesn’t symbolize a fall from grace but rather an impending adjustment—one pegged back by market realities and inferred risks.

Conclusion: Navigating an Uncertain Path

So, is it too late for traders eyeing SoFi? Not necessarily. Landscapes shift in matter and perception, and SoFi stands at a crossroads. Growth comes with its set of hurdles. The tech-wishfuls and the value analysts tussle in defining SoFi’s narrative from here on.

Traders face an enigma—a stock curtailed by market reality verses allure of disruptive promise. With inherent potential in technologies and innovation, SoFi is both a muse and a riddle in financial circles. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Preparation plus patience leads to big profits.” While the trading voyage remains uncertain, the intrigue surrounding SoFi remains steadfast—as it weathers a storm forecasted by market analysts.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”