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Will Semler Scientific’s Bitcoin Bet Pay Off?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellog Fact-checked by Ellis Hobb

Semler Scientific Inc’s stock surged on Wednesday, trading up by 17.87 percent, likely driven by positive market sentiment surrounding the company’s strong financial performance and strategic advancements in their diagnostic services.

Key Insights from Recent Market Moves

  • Semler Scientific made a bold move by purchasing 215 bitcoins in November, a strategic shift that boosted its holdings to 1,273 BTC at an estimated $88.7M cost.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:02:33 EST: On Wednesday, November 27, 2024 Semler Scientific Inc stock [NASDAQ: SMLR] is trending up by 17.87%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • The company’s decision to enter an at-the-market offering agreement with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. has the potential to raise up to $50M through common stock sales.

  • This financial maneuvering has sparked investor interest, causing SMLR shares to climb by 7.5%, driven by the news of increased cryptocurrency investments and market confidence.

Financial Snapshots and Strategic Initiatives

As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Embrace the journey, the ups and downs; each mistake is a lesson to improve your strategy.” Each mistake is a lesson to improve your strategy. Traders need to understand that the market is unpredictable, and they should be prepared for both successes and failures. This mindset can help them stay focused and resilient, allowing them to refine their techniques and strategies over time. Trading is not just about making money; it’s about learning and growing with each experience.

Semler Scientific is charting a new course and isn’t shy about the risks involved. In the fiscal shuffle of November, the company tucked an additional 215 bitcoins under its belt, spending a cool $17.7M. Now, it’s holding a cryptographic treasure trove of 1,273 bitcoins. These endeavors make headlines, stirring both intrigue and skepticism in the financial realms. The average cost per bitcoin clocked at $82,502, suggesting confidence amid rising volatility in the crypto markets.

Besides this tech-forward approach, Semler signed an at-the-market offering agreement with Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., preparing to potentially release a swath of common stock valued up to $50M. This dual strategy both underwrites its capital structure and arms itself to seize emerging opportunities.

Market Implications of Recent Earnings Report

Diving into the financial depths, Semler’s Q3 results portray a company steering with precision. Revenue hit approximately $13.5M, driven by resilient operations amid market fluctuations. The strategic maneuvers in cash flow showcase a bold bet on potential gains from bitcoin and expansion facilitated by engaged financing activities. You can almost hear the rustling sound of cash reserves being shuffled; while once airy, they’re now a disciplined reserve of $6.57M.

The profitability radar blips brightly with an EBITDA margin of 34.8% and a return on capital near 41.39%. This indicates efficient asset handling that might soothe skeptics eyeing fluctuating bitcoin prices. With no long-term debt strapping it, Semler’s assertive, almost audacious approach, coupled with its high current ratio of 3.1, projects robust financial health.

More Breaking News

The Buzz About Bitcoin

But what about the elephants in the room—Semler’s foray into bitcoin? It’s a gambit that’s not for the faint-hearted, given bitcoin’s notorious temperament. Imagine a dance with an unpredictable partner; there’s grace in SMLR’s steps, yet beneath are whispers of risk. The intrigue here isn’t just about digital layaways; it’s a vivid narrative intertwining legacy and emerging finance realms.

At the heart of this endeavor is a daring declaration: Semler opts to infuse digital dynamism into its financial core, a move that lifts its stock following the acquisitions. Investor fervor is palpable, with shares jumping after this headline move.

Financial Metrics and Market Dynamics

A look into Semler’s financial vitals reveals strategic courage teamed with fiscal competence. The perils of a PE ratio of 25.66 are mitigated by an earnest 88.1% gross margin, signaling operations strumming strong notes. Meanwhile, a nimble enterprise value at $375.64M speaks to an agile company posture, poised for market play.

Through the lens of key ratios, a discerning eye discerns the nuances between aggressive growth pursuits and safeguarding fiscal stability. The balance sheet unveils $92.2M in assets and $85.36M in equity, suggesting an imposing financial bulwark against stormy seas ahead.

Concluding Thoughts: Steady as She Goes

Even as Surging SMLR shares reflect optimistic trader sentiment, the landscape is a choreography of calculated risks and shrewd fiscal stewardship. Is this venture too audacious? Perhaps braving the bitcoin waves will either prove a masterstroke or instructive trial. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Consistency is key in trading; don’t let emotions dictate your trades.”

Semler’s audacious embrace of both crypto and wider market equity marks it as a company with eyes firmly on a multifaceted future—a narrative that captivates and challenges all at once. As the market watches, the dance continues, rife with the promise and perils such decisions entail. Here, indeed, is a financial tale that courts a question: Will the gamble pay dividends, or is the enchantment merely ephemeral? Whatever the answer, Semler’s bold moves speak volumes in vibrant financial tones.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”