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Increasing Uncertainty: What Does Falling Cryptocurrency Mean for Riot Platforms?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

Turbocharged concerns over Riot Platforms Inc.’s potential liquidity issues and heightened scrutiny in the cryptocurrency sector have weighed heavily on the company’s stocks. On Tuesday, Riot Platforms Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -4.48 percent.

Headlines from the Crypto Market

  • Bitcoin’s tumble below $94,000 has sent ripples across markets, taking related stocks like RIOT down with it. Investors are scrambling to assess the next moves as volatility persists.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:31:59 EST: On Tuesday, December 31, 2024 Riot Platforms Inc. stock [NASDAQ: RIOT] is trending down by -4.48%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • Riot Platforms planned convertible senior notes offering of $500M due 2030 to fund Bitcoin purchases and other corporate needs has put pressure on its stock, leading to a premarket drop.

  • The cryptocurrency market downturn has negatively impacted major digital asset players like Riot, with the stock showing weakness amidst these adverse conditions.

Rapid Shift: How Bitcoin Volatility Challenges Riot

As successful trading often involves managing risk and making strategic decisions, traders must be mindful of their limits. Knowing when to walk away can prevent detrimental losses. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” This mindset can help traders preserve their capital and prolong their careers by avoiding unnecessary risks and focusing on long-term gains.

Bitcoin, a gargantuan force in digital finance, dropped below $94,000. Such a swing didn’t just ruffle feathers but drove stocks like Riot into turbulent waters. Riot Platforms doesn’t stand solo in its crypto ventures but shoulders a hefty load from Bitcoin mining. This close tie means Riot’s stock oscillates wildly alongside Bitcoin’s tremors.

Recently, Riot announced plans to offer $500 million worth of convertible senior notes. With the note issuance aimed mainly at bolstering its Bitcoin stash and other expenses, it seemingly adds another layer of risk. Investors might think, are these moves too audacious in a falling market? Concerns over dilution and increasing debt loom, squeezing RIOT and compounding its uncertain path.

More Breaking News

Analyzing the past price data of RIOT stock, we see a plunging trend. From opening at $12.68 a few weeks back to skimming $10.025, its recent low, the figures mirror the chilling effects of the slumping cryptocurrency market.

Riot’s Financial Journey: Earnings and Key Metrics

Delving into the Riot’s recent earnings, we witness a tapestry of financial complications. Let’s paint a picture: Revenue clocked in at $280.68M, yet the net income sat at a net loss of $154.36M. These figures scream for attention, showing a snag between earnings and costs. The profit margins paint an even grimmer portrait with negative indicators, from ebit-margin to net income.

Metrics like ‘pricetosales’ standing at 11.15, denote a hefty price tag for income number—a red flag for value investors. Alongside, leverage remains low with a 0.01 debt-equity ratio but adds layers of complexity in a field already colored by speculative ventures. Given a gross margin of 26.1%, Riot has room to improve efficiencies. However, the pressing cash flow problems, reflected by a -$131.84M free cash flow, dictate urgency in revamping their approach, hopefully beyond yet another debt move.

Cryptocurrency thrives on thrill. Yet, Riot showing operational cash flow negatives of $56.33M hints at liquidity tightening the noose. If crypto waves surge again, Riot can ride them; otherwise, dark clouds hover.

The Broader Picture: Are These Moves Strategic or Risky?

The feeling among investors swings somewhere between fear and speculation. Cryptocurrency reigning over investor conversations means any deviation results in noticeable market sentiment changes. That leads to opportunities, yes, but risks too.

Riot’s decision to leverage $500M for adding Bitcoin could be seen as a prescient move, betting on the currency’s next rise. Or, some might call it reckless, ogling Bitcoin’s current instability.

Moreover, the market downturn isn’t exclusive to Riot. Broader market cues influence each company’s ebb and flow. Other marquee stocks – Marathon Digital (MARA), MicroStrategy (MSTR), and Coinbase (COIN) – are sailing the same choppy seas. Whether hinting at a widespread opportunity or community downfall remains veiled behind crypto’s veil.

Riot’s flexible financial plans, backed by a strengthened Bitcoin portfolio, however risky or rewarding, suggest a long-term vision. However, caught in today’s volatility maelstrom, drawing clear outcomes remains a dazed gamble.

Wrapping Up: Navigating the Crypto Tides

As Riot Platforms continues its high-stakes play tied into Bitcoin’s rhythm, current times demand keen analysis. From falling digital asset values echoing across the stock market to strategic fund-raising objectives hinting at bigger game plans, the future remains steeped in speculative shades.

All this begs the question: How will Riot, entwined with such volatility from Bitcoin, steer through the digital storm? Will it emerge as reborn from the crypto troughs or face another bout of downward spirals hastened by market skepticism?

Navigating the psychic highs and palpable lows of Riot’s market odyssey calls for tempered judgment, with one eye on crypto trends and the other on financial resilience. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Cut losses quickly, let profits ride, and don’t overtrade.” These words of wisdom resonate deeply with Riot’s traders, who must delicately balance caution with ambition. Riot’s fate reads like an unfolding page-turner, brimming with intrigue and suspense, until the market ink runs dry or writes a rebounding tale anew.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”