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Rigetti’s Quantum Breakthrough Fuels Market Speculations: What’s Next?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellog Fact-checked by Ellis Hobb

Rigetti Computing Inc.’s stocks have surged in response to positive market sentiment, driven by their latest advancements in quantum computing technology and strategic partnerships. On Friday, Rigetti Computing Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 13.51 percent.

What’s Behind Rigetti’s Recent Surge?

  • A groundbreaking achievement in quantum error correction on Rigetti’s Ankaa-2 system highlights impressive strides in quantum technology, capturing investor attention.
  • Performance in Q3 showcased better-than-expected EPS against market predictions, though revenue lagged, sparking mixed responses from analysts.
  • Price target adjustments reflect high expectations for technology advancements and potential sales growth by mid-2025, despite shortfalls in Q3 revenue.
  • CEO’s upcoming keynote at SEMICON Europa promises insights into the potential of quantum computing, bolstering Rigetti’s vision for future breakthroughs.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:17:58 EST: On Friday, November 22, 2024 Rigetti Computing Inc. stock [NASDAQ: RGTI] is trending up by 13.51%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Rigetti Computing Inc.’s Financial Snapshot and Earnings Flash

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Rigetti Computing’s recent earnings have caught the eye, presenting a whirlwind of financial complexities and promising strides. At the autumn close against the backdrop of quantum innovation, Rigetti revealed that its Q3 earnings per share outperformed consensus estimates, even though its revenue fell short, sitting at $2.4M compared to the expected $3.33M. What does this mean for the company?

From the financial sheets, Rigetti appears to tread an intricate path. Although the revenue paints a dissonant picture against hopes, financial maneuvering repairs the frame. A reported gross margin at 60.6% shines, while a challenging path is marked by a negative EBIT margin of 489.4%, reflecting the typical chaos of a tech startup scaling its quantum dreams. These figures tell a story of a firm aggressively expanding — investing in superior systems and chips, though not yet capitalizing on wide earnings immensity.

The stock closing numbers sketch yet another narrative. Experiencing a swing in prices, recent days witnessed Rigetti’s stock recover from $1.31 to $1.48. Analysts, peering through their meticulous lenses, have adjusted forecasts, with an increased price target pushing optimism in quantum prospects. But with a price-to-sales ratio of 11.58, confidence tests its boundaries.

In September 2024’s financial terrain, Rigetti’s cash flow dynamics show dynamic shifts. Investment in continued growth left the cash flows from investments positive, pulling up to $6.26M, suggesting heavy reinvestment — a keystone for tech frontrunners in the quantum race. Despite a free cash flow deficit, the robust current ratio of 4.8 exemplifies liquidity readiness against immediate tests.

Yet, amid layers of financial sheets, Rigetti’s roadmap crystallizes in its technological ambitions. The newest quantum system architectures hold promise as Rigetti pushes towards higher qubit counts, promising low-latency capabilities that encapsulate the thrill of future potentials. Market enthusiasts speculatively hover, decisions hinging on the delicate balance of innovation versus immediate fiscal returns.

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How Recent News Propels Market Movements

In the finance and tech-world microcosm, news circles often dictate stock waves, and Rigetti’s narrative is no exception. Recent headlines have spun a captivating tale of quantum leap achievements and future prowess expectations. On October 31, 2024, Rigetti fans were all eyes and ears as the company demonstrated groundbreaking techniques in quantum error correction — a pivotal achievement marking reduced error rates on its prodigious Ankaa-2 system.

This technical proof-of-concept propels Rigetti into uncharted territories, creating buzz about potential commercialization timelines and widening its competitive moat in quantum solutions. Rigetti, a forerunner in a crowded quantum race, thus moved sentiment up, drawing speculative hopefuls enthused by the sector’s prospects.

The market fluctuated with news of Rigetti’s Q3 disclosures. The mysterious dance between achieved EPS and missed revenue forecast invited varied analyst takes — a symptom of mixed signals. Expert voices suggested looking past short-term financial misses, pivoting attentively toward Rigetti’s aggressive product pipelines and ambitious 36-qubit system targets, which promise material results by 2025. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “The goal is not to win every trade but to protect your capital and keep moving forward.” This serves as a reminder for traders to focus on long-term gains amidst Rigetti’s advancements.

Futures flourished further as financial gamesmanship shifted views, highlighted by B. Riley’s analysts revamping price targets upwards, an echo of optimistic projections for future sales influxes and tech triumphs.

Tethering back to CEO reflections during the SEMICON Europa spotlight, Rigetti’s upcoming modular architectures narrative is woven, inflating trader dreams of a supercharged quantum age. The address is poised to focus on the transformative winds steering superconducting quantum computing — a presiding theme hinting towards tangible market draws on the horizon.

A textured blend of recent data sparks curiosity and strategic maneuvers. Rigetti, though not devoid of stark financial fishhooks, attracts as a torchbearer for quantum ambitions. Traders and analysts now stand, balancing on the precipice of calculated risks, their gaze set firmly on unfolding quantum advancement chapters.

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The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”