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Is Betting on Reddit a Wise Move Amid TikTok Ban Speculation?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

Reddit Inc.’s stock surge of 8.34 percent on Friday is likely driven by speculation about potential monetization improvements and platform upgrades as reported in recent headlines.

Highlights from the Latest Market Transformations

  • A potential TikTok ban in the U.S. has stirred hopes for Reddit and other social media alternatives to seize frustrated users.
  • Discussions in the Wallstreetbets subreddit are causing noticeable movements in Reddit’s stock, with premarket shifts signaling renewed investor optimism.
  • As the TikTok drama unfolds, advertisers are increasingly embracing Reddit, evidenced by winning more test budgets, which could transform the revenue landscape.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:31:51 EST: On Friday, January 03, 2025 Reddit Inc. stock [NYSE: RDDT] is trending up by 8.34%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview of Reddit’s Financial Health and Trends

As traders navigate the financial markets, they often encounter challenges that test their resolve and skills. It is important for traders to remain adaptable and continue learning from their experiences. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Embrace the journey, the ups and downs; each mistake is a lesson to improve your strategy.” This mindset allows traders to not only survive but thrive in the ever-changing landscape of trading. By viewing setbacks as opportunities for growth, traders can hone their strategies and increase their chances of success.

Reddit, a major player in the social media space, finds itself in the spotlight amid regulatory hurdles faced by mega rival, TikTok. Scrutiny around TikTok opens doors for platforms like Reddit to grab new audiences looking for fresh grounds to express themselves. This potential market shake-up couldn’t come at a more crucial time for Reddit, as it stands to benefit mightily from an exodus of users looking for a new home.

Recent stock performance indicates some excitement. On the market open on Jan 3, 2025, the stock danced around highs and closed at $179.76 after hitting $181.22, demonstrating bullish sentiments. Indeed, during the premarket, Reddit enjoyed positive investor attention, hinting at a possible recovery phase. Analysts assess that Reddit could soon capitalize on being a spillover choice for advertisers and users alike, adding a layer of intrigue to its fiscal future.

In the context of its financials, Reddit is not without its headwinds. With the enterprise valued at approximately $27.41B, navigating the financial seas isn’t a straightforward affair. The balance sheets reveal some past struggles. For instance, with a pretax profit margin plumbing to negative lows and a price-to-sales ratio peaking at an exorbitant 55.6, strides in efficiency and control are top of mind for the leadership.

Delving into Reddit’s earnings, the second quarter of 2024 brought nettlesome results. A total revenue stream of $281M coupled starkly with expenses ballooning to $312M. The ensuing net income registers a loss of about $10.1M but represents more than mere doom and gloom. A notable $564K cash balance echoes resilience, a signal to stakeholders that Reddit is gearing up for an innovative throttle ahead.

As operational cash flow came in strong at $28.39M, driven largely by improved capital management, it embodies a turnaround anticipation — an enticing insight for those pondering ventures with the platform.

Navigating News that Shapes Reddit’s Stock Movement

Unpacking TikTok’s Impact on Reddit’s Prospects

Amid whispers and steely-eyed glances from regulators regarding TikTok’s potential ban, Reddit steps up as a warm and ready candidate for displaced users. According to reports, a significant increase in user engagement is on the cards. As TikTok teeters on the edge of exclusion from the U.S., it’s projected thousands, if not millions, may flood towards Reddit as a viable sanctuary.

This influx not only revitalizes the platform sphere but sets the stage for boosting content diversity and creativity within its forums. Moreover, advertisers are cottoning onto the opportunity presented, eager to redirect resources into a social combo that’s ripe with organic engagement possibilities. Capturing attention and persuading loyalty is where Reddit may shine the brightest in such evolving climates.

Wallstreetbets: The Subreddit Spark Plugging Stock Dynamics

In the background, Reddit sees its stock buoyed by the actions of its own community. Wallstreetbets, famed for its nonchalant yet impactful market chatter, has become a catalyst in recalibrating investor outlook. On Dec 12, 2024, a strong advance emerged in premarket trading for Reddit’s stock, marking a symbolic recovery move following its recent rocky rides.

Observations show that when Wallstreetbets speaks, the market listens — likely thanks to fervent retail investors bankrolling momentum into actionable movements. As such, Reddit’s scorecard hasn’t stagnated; rather, anticipations surface that such catalyst events could stimulate sustainable historic uptrends, should speculative discussions ripple into tangible results.

More Breaking News

Doubling Down or Treading Lightly: What Investors Need to Consider

Faced with a refreshed path to potential after regulatory upticks against TikTok, Reddit stands at a pivotal crossroad. The question now asks whether market participants should act prudently or aggressively. While the speculative noise around mergers and user growth is intriguing, seasoned market watchers insist on a prudent approach, scrutinizing longer-term prospects and historical market tendencies.

In hindsight, those involved with Reddit experience a confluence of market forces that shape everyday trading realities. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “You must adapt to the market; the market will not adapt to you.” Heed this — unpredictable external factors like regulatory changes, user preference shifts, and competitive strategies may shift landscape tides rapidly. Hence, balancing urge with diligence is the sage’s stride for traders pondering Reddit’s future landscape.

Through it all, by maintaining a firm grip on managing resources wisely and sustaining innovative user engagement practices amidst turbulent times, Reddit is in a promising position. As clouds of volatility hover, the decisiveness of actions taken shall etch the path charted in its prosperous or precarious journey ahead.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”