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Nikola Stock: Ready to Rise or Risky Investment?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

Nikola Corporation’s shares surged by 13.45 percent on Thursday, driven by robust market sentiment following positive coverage of their innovative technology and strategic partnerships promising future growth.

Latest Developments:

  • With a new HYLA hydrogen refueling station in West Sacramento, Nikola ambitiously expands its zero-emissions highway, fueling up to 20 Class 8 trucks daily by Jan 2025.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:36:58 EST: On Thursday, January 02, 2025 Nikola Corporation stock [NASDAQ: NKLA] is trending up by 13.45%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • The hydrogen network expansion marks Nikola’s significant leap in connecting Northern and Central California, aiming for a widespread sustainable hydrogen economy.

  • Establishing a foothold in California, Nikola’s new station further supports its mission to transition away from fossil fuels, targeting more eco-friendly solutions.

Quick Overview of Nikola’s Financial Health

Trading in the stock market can be a complex and challenging endeavor. One of the key principles that traders often abide by is managing their risk effectively. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” This quote emphasizes the importance of preserving capital and avoiding unnecessary losses. Traders must always strive to exit trades that don’t go their way before they impact their overall portfolio negatively. By implementing robust risk management strategies, traders can ensure their financial stability and continue to participate in the market with confidence, even when faced with unexpected market fluctuations.

In the intricate web of financial metrics, Nikola’s current standing can be perceived as a perplexing blend of innovative zeal and challenging numbers. The company’s latest financials paint quite a complex picture. Despite its forward momentum in expanding hydrogen fueling infrastructure — making strides in sustainability — the fiscal landscape raises many eyebrows.

Nikola reported negative EBIT margins, alongside harsh pretax and net profit margins. These stark figures underline the uphill battle the company faces in carving a sustainable path. Its current ratio stands at 1.2, which is modestly sound, ensuring Nikola can cover short-term obligations. However, the leverage ratio reveals that debt management is a substantive focus, emphasizing the need to navigate finances cautiously.

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Looking at revenue streams, the company must scale from its base of $35.8M, aiming to fuel future growth ideally matching or even exceeding its expansive vision. With asset turnover showing room for improvement, bolstering efficiency will be paramount.

Refueling Network Expansion: What Does It Mean?

Forging ahead with the unveiling of its newest HYLA hydrogen refueling station, Nikola aims to be at the forefront of the green transportation revolution. This new station serves as a link between Northern and Central California, significantly widening Nikola’s hydrogen corridor. It signifies Nikola’s powerful commitment to sustainability amidst economic hurdles.

Such proactive moves cast Nikola in a bold, forward-thinking light. Its mission to power a fleet of zero-emission trucks stands as a beacon of environmental responsibility. But, with these ambitious plans come substantial costs. Setting up a network like HYLA is capital intensive, reflecting in the company’s need to invest heavily to reap long-term rewards.

Investors are watching these developments, poised to see if Nikola can transition from a hopeful promise to a profitable entity. The performance of this network may well determine whether Nikola solidifies its reputation or struggles under the weight of its own expectations.

Complex Financial Interplay: A Balancing Act

Treading through Nikola’s financials uncovers an intricate and delicate balancing act. Balancing between strategic aggression in advancements and stable financial footing, Nikola grapples with typical startup conundrums – high operational costs and the need for ongoing capital infusion.

In its recent quarterly report, Nikola displayed a gap between ambitions and profitability, with a negative operating cash flow underscoring its cash burn rate. Yet, the company is powering forth, reflective of confidence in long-term prospects. Capital expenditures, while currently weighing on profits, remain crucial for future infrastructure and technological advancements.

On a hopeful note, Nikola hasn’t been quiet on the innovation front. With new technology pipelines and market penetrations, it’s carving paths that could, possibly, sustain its financial maneuver. The anticipated completion of the hydrogen stations might just catalyze a switch — turning past investments into viable, cash-generating ventures.

Moving Ahead: Market Speculation and Potential Impact

The recent focus on hydrogen fueling suggests a speculative yet potentially pivotal strategy. Market reactions reflect a blend of enthusiasm and cautious optimism. The share price seesaws in response to new updates, a testament to the tightly-knit connection between corporate strategy and trader sentiment.

Nikola, like a phoenix navigating the rough terrains, continues to redefine its identity within the evolving energy landscape. Though the fiscal snapshots present hurdles, the overarching narrative is one of transformation. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “It’s not about how much money you make; it’s about how much money you keep.” Will these impactful moves pivot Nikola to new heights, or expose it to previously unseen risks? Traders venture to weigh potential returns against significant gambles, ever mindful of the stakes in play.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”