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Is it Too Late to Jump on Marathon Petroleum’s Rising Stock?

Ellis HobbsAvatar
Written by Ellis Hobbs
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

Elevated oil prices and anticipation of higher demand have lifted Marathon Petroleum Corporation’s stock, strongly influenced by positive market sentiment regarding potential refining capacity expansions. On Monday, Marathon Petroleum Corporation’s stocks have been trading up by 5.88 percent.

Wolfe Research’s $175 Call: Wolfe Research adjusted its price target to $175, emphasizing a balanced view on Marathon Petroleum, mindful of future risks in the exploration and refining sectors.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:37:12 EST: On Monday, January 13, 2025 Marathon Petroleum Corporation stock [NYSE: MPC] is trending up by 5.88%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • Teamsters Strike Ends: In Detroit, Marathon’s refinery workers ratified a seven-year labor deal after months of striking, promising higher wages and expanded benefits.

  • Price Target Adjustments: Both Wells Fargo and Jefferies nudged their price targets slightly down, maintaining optimistic ratings, suggesting ongoing confidence in long-term prospects.

  • Capacity Challenges Ahead: Refining margins are predicted to dip initially in 2025 with an anticipated recovery later. Analysts are optimistic despite projected global economic slowdowns.

  • Mexico City Community Efforts: Collaborating with TECHO, Marathon’s Mexico City branch aids underprivileged families, reflecting positive corporate social responsibility.

Marathon Petroleum’s Financial Picture

“Preparation plus patience leads to big profits,” as millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says. In the world of trading, success does not come overnight. It requires a strategic approach, where thorough research and understanding of market trends are crucial. Traders need to cultivate an expansive knowledge base and develop the ability to stay patient, even during turbulent times. By combining these elements, traders can enhance their potential for substantial gains.

Marathon Petroleum recently reported notable earnings, demonstrating its robust stance in the oil sector. The company’s revenue shot up, reaching $148.38B with a significant profit margin of 28.25%, indicating effective cost management strategies despite past challenges. As your expert stock market guide, I can see that their recent earnings are quite impressive, marked by calculated cost-saving measures and increased stake in refining operations. These results bode well for the company’s future.

Financial metrics, such as a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.27 and strong asset turnover rates, reveal that the company remains appealing to investors due to its undervaluation compared to industry peers. Moreover, the high gross margin of 55% signifies efficient production processes relative to revenue generated. Meanwhile, its total debt-to-equity stands around 1.55, suggesting a manageable debt level, especially with profitability indicators showcasing strength.

It’s noteworthy how Marathon’s consistent cash flows, despite fluctuations in short-term investments and stock repurchases, predict a stable capacity for future investments and dividend payments. The management’s effectiveness is underscored by a return on equity near 20.2%, a tangible testament to its strategies translating into real shareholder value.

Impact of News and Market Trends

The hefty analysis of recent news suggests multiple influences on stock behavior. Marathon’s strategic choices in the financial realm come alongside recent news developments, such as Wolfe Research altering its price target due to calculated risks, potentially affecting investor confidence.

In Detroit, the conclusion of the refinery strike stands out. Workers are gradually returning to secure operations, hinting at a calmer business environment ahead. Simultaneously, remarks from Wells Fargo and Jefferies affect the stock’s potential trajectory, especially as both firms perceive a future uptick.

Refining capacity, a critical factor for 2025, preempts possible margin tightening, mainly if new refineries outpace demand growth, especially if China’s variable demand persists unpredictably. Corporates like MPC focus on emerging resilience during such periods, thus underlining Morrison’s strategic foresight.

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What’s Next for Marathon?

The story here goes beyond immediate stock movements. Wolfe Research’s adjustment in price targets echoes a broader sentiment of caution yet trust. It signifies not a downturn but immediate uncertainties ahead. Traders watch closely; MPC demonstrates resilience in the face of foreseen hurdles. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “It’s not about how much money you make; it’s about how much money you keep.” This quote resonates with the strategies employed by those in the trading domain as they navigate these uncertainties with calculated caution.

Detroit’s peaceful labor relations and Mexico City cooperation showcase potential confidence-building exercises. Here, many seek the stability behind tactical community outreach projects and labor stability, aimed ultimately at securing business longevity.

Yet, these scenarios paint Marathon’s road to future challenges, particularly its potential to capitalize on striking positive earnings amidst volatile conditions. Analysts highlight this volatile journey, recognizing MPC’s adept ability to transition looming hurdles into strategic wins. Examine key earnings and valuations to understand Marathon’s ambitious saga and whether it’s ever late to engage.

As headlines draw skepticism, Marathon’s story of growth remains compelling. Neal traders may discern unwavering strength in maintaining Marathon’s momentum amidst unfolding challenges. This ability, with vigilant watch, determines long-term trading endeavors within the hallowed oil domain.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”