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Should You Buy MARA After the Recent Crypto Slump?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

MARA Holdings Inc. experienced a tumultuous Monday, impacted significantly by deteriorating cryptocurrency markets, which saw major liquidations hitting their lowest levels. Adding to the stress, reports of broader market pressures and concerns over MARA’s resilience in a volatile environment have also taken a toll. Consequently, MARA Holdings Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -5.61 percent.

  • Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies’ decline with Bitcoin dipping below $64,000 directly impacts MARA, a bitcoin mining company.
  • Most major digital assets saw a drop, with Bitcoin dipping below the $58,000 level. This downturn affected companies heavily invested in cryptocurrencies.
  • Marathon Digital Holdings reported a 3% decrease in Bitcoin production in August compared to July. Shares fell 2% in premarket activity.
  • The value of major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, decreased. Companies tied to the digital asset industry, like MARA, may be negatively affected.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 16:02:52 EST: On Monday, September 30, 2024 MARA Holdings Inc. stock [NASDAQ: MARA] is trending down by -5.61%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Overview on MARA’s Recent Earnings and Key Metrics

In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency mining, Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (MARA) finds itself in a fluctuating landscape. MARA, much like a seasoned sailor navigating stormy seas, must constantly adapt to the shifting tides of Bitcoin’s value. Speaking of which, Bitcoin recently took a nosedive below the $64,000 mark, and this certainly has ripples that MARA cannot escape. Let’s dig into the numbers and recent events to see how this backdrop is shaping MARA’s course.

First, let’s journey through MARA’s latest earnings and financial metrics. The second quarter ending June 30, 2024, reveals an interesting yet challenging snapshot.

Revenue and Performance

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  • Revenue Figures: MARA garnered $145.1 million in operating revenue. This figure, albeit promising, is juxtaposed with significant setbacks. The revenue per share stood at $1.32, pointing to the profitability potential even in a rocky terrain.
  • Losses and Expenses: MARA recorded a whopping net income loss of $199.7 million. The total expenses for the period amounted to $195.8 million, where general and administrative expenses alone hit $57.1 million.
  • Profit Margins: Despite the hefty revenues, various profit margins such as EBIT (-231.3 million) and Net Income (-199.7 million) revealed they are treading turbulent waters. However, the gross profit margin hinted at some silver lining by showing $145.1 million.
  • Debt and Cash Flow: MARA’s total debt sat at $346.5M, with a quarterly free cash flow showing a decline to -$132.4M. This creates a tricky situation, like a tightrope walker balancing responsibilities while keeping an eye on the prize.
  • Asset Outlook: With assets totaling $3.12 billion and non-current liabilities of $375.3 million, MARA’s debt-to-equity remains a low 0.13, indicating a robust financial strength despite the storm clouds.

This snapshot portrays a company that, while under turbulent market pressures, still holds a sturdy ship thanks to its asset management and minimized debt.

Crypto Market Impacts on MARA

As a bitcoin mining company, MARA’s fortunes are inevitably tied to the broader cryptocurrency landscape. Recent headlines have been dominated by a significant decline in major cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin plunging below the $64,000 mark—a stark contrast to its recent highs. This shockwave has inevitably rippled through MARA, affecting its stock value and operational landscape.

  • Bitcoin Value Decline: The drop of Bitcoin below $64,000, and especially down to $58,000 has sent shivers through the market, influencing crypto-related companies like MARA to re-evaluate their operational strategies.
  • August Production Drop: MARA’s 3% drop in Bitcoin production in August compared to July indicates the immediate effect of market volatility on its output. This, combined with a premarket share price dip of 2%, highlights the sensitivity of MARA’s operations to Bitcoin’s fluctuations.
  • Trading Volume and Market Valuation: The bearish trend in Bitcoin and other digital assets has resulted in reduced trading volume, further impacting MARA and similar firms. The decline is linked to a significant drop in the overall market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, reflecting investor sentiment and operational hurdles for mining companies.

Elaborating the News and Impact on MARA’s Stock

To truly grasp how MARA is navigating these waters, let’s delve deeper into how the selected news articles undeniably affect its stock and market standing.

More Breaking News

Crypto Market Dynamics: Bitcoin’s Plunge

When the cryptocurrency giant Bitcoin falls below $64,000, it’s akin to a seismic event in the digital realm, shaking the foundations of all associated entities. Hence, for MARA, this downturn is more than just a hiccup; it’s a stringent test of resilience.

Bitcoin’s dip below key thresholds, down to $58,000, further cemented this tremor. The interconnected nature of cryptocurrency prices ties the fortunes of companies like MARA directly to Bitcoin’s price action. As Bitcoin’s value descends, MARA’s cost of mining each Bitcoin increases, thus squeezing profit margins and operational viability.

  • Operational Adjustments: MARA has likely been forced to adjust its mining strategies and operational costs to stay afloat amidst such a valuation drop. The higher the BTC mining cost, the lower the profitability unless offset by increased volume or reduced operational costs.
  • Stock Sensitivity: Investors react with heightened sensitivity to such market movements, sharing their sentiments through sell-offs or cautious holds. This reactive stance contributed to MARA’s stock falling in tandem with Bitcoin, underscoring market interconnectedness.

MARA’s Production Report: An August Snapshot

Reporting a 3% decrease in Bitcoin production for August places a spotlight on MARA’s production efficiency and adaptability. This seemingly small decline isn’t negligible operating in a volatile currency market where every mined Bitcoin counts towards revenue sustainability.

  • Production Challenges: The production drop hints at possible operational inefficiencies, environmental constraints, or regulatory hurdles, all of which can disrupt mining activities. In the crypto mining world, time is indeed money, and every operational hiccup translates to potential revenue loss.
  • Premarket Share Dip: Unsurprisingly, this production decline saw MARA’s shares fall by 2% even before markets opened, showcasing how pre-emptive investor sentiment can impact stock prices. The market doesn’t wait for the bell to ring to react; it anticipates and moves accordingly.

Broader Market Decline: Ripple Effects

The overall decline in major digital assets has resulted in broader market repercussions. MARA, along with other companies deeply enmeshed in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, faces a multifaceted impact:

  • Valuation and Trading Volume: The market valuation for MARA has likely seen dips corresponding to decreased trading volumes in crypto markets. Investors’ flight to safer assets amidst a crypto downturn tends to dry up liquidity, affecting the ease of transactions.
  • Investor Confidence: Declining confidence in cryptocurrency stability fosters risk-averse behavior, leading to stock sell-offs and affecting indices tied to the broader digital asset landscape.

Navigating Stormy Seas: MARA’s Future Prospects and Market Performance

Taking a wider lens into MARA’s potential trajectories in the coming quarters involves considering both the immediate and long-term impacts of the current market sentiment. Here’s a closer exploration:

Future Operational Adjustments

MARA’s path forward will likely entail strategic recalibrations. The company might focus on enhancing operational efficiencies or exploring renewable energy sources to lower mining costs, thus optimizing profitability even in a downturned market.

Financial Fortitude

While steep losses are worrisome, MARA’s robust asset base and low debt-to-equity ratio indicate a strong financial backbone. In scenarios mirroring a storm at sea, having a sturdy vessel with minimal burdens can mean the difference between maneuvering to safety or capsizing under pressure.

  • Capital Management and Cash Flow: The significant negative operating cash flow alongside net common stock issuance stresses an urgent need for MARA to manage finances prudently. Converting revenue into positive cash flow will be crucial for sustainable operations.
  • Investment in Technology: Future investments might pivot towards innovative mining technologies that reduce energy consumption or increase hash rates, thus boosting production efficiency.

Market Sentiment and Investor Relations

The immediate bearish sentiment might not deter long-term investors who recognize MARA’s inherent potential when coupled with a bearish market turnaround. However, clear communication and transparency about operational strategies and market challenges will be necessary to maintain investor confidence.

Speculated Performance

  • Price-to-Earnings Ratios: Elevated P/E ratios typically reflect anticipated growth; however, MARA’s challenging metrics reveal the need for cautious optimism.
  • Market Trends: By keeping a pulse on market trends, MARA can preemptively adjust its strategies to align with speculative patterns, ensuring resilience amidst volatility.

Conclusion: Riding the Waves

Navigating the turbulent waters of cryptocurrency, MARA exemplifies the challenges and dynamism inherent in this industry. With Bitcoin’s significant decline and broader digital asset downturns, MARA’s performance reflects the intricate dance between market volatility and operational agility. Enhanced by a solid asset base and strategic foresight, MARA remains a pivotal player in the crypto-mining field. As the market steadies, opportunities for riding the next wave again will surely emerge.

To investors and observers alike, MARA’s course offers valuable lessons in resilience, strategic adaptation, and anticipating market movements. While the seas are certainly rough, the potential for smoother sailing lies on the horizon for those adept at reading the currents.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”