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Is It Time to Buy FMCC Stocks as Mortgage Rates Soar?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp’s stock is under pressure following reports of worsening U.S. housing market conditions and regulatory scrutiny, leading to a significant drop. On Thursday, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp’s stocks have been trading down by -13.34 percent.

Core Market Signals

  • The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.93%, pointing towards increased mortgage rates that could challenge housing affordability.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 11:37:50 EST: On Thursday, January 16, 2025 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp stock [NASDAQ: FMCC] is trending down by -13.34%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • Freddie Mac recently noted a rise in mortgage rates over consecutive weeks, with the rate now standing at 6.85%.

Quick Overview of FMCC’s Financial Health

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Freddie Mac’s recent financial statement provides quite the tale. Their income reports a net income of $3B, showcasing stability despite challenging market conditions. However, the gross margin has come under scrutiny due to the thin line between operational costs and revenue. This couldn’t paint a rosier picture as much of Freddie Mac’s income stemmed from interest revenue, with $29.8B originating from security operations.

Yet, there’s a plot twist – non-interest-related income yielded $839M, underscoring their diversified financial groundwork. Salaries and administration costs stood at $424M, with overall non-interest expenses nearing $2.18B, hinting at controlled internal expenses. The credit provision increase to $191M might suggest caution with potential loan defaults, reflecting strategic maneuvering amidst rising mortgage rates.

When examining the cash flow, the tale turns suspenseful. There’s an ominous $67M cash reduction, and the net cash from loan receivables seems a bit daunting. However, their solid holdings in secured investments could provide a cushion against immediate liquid cash crunches. It paints a picture – while challenged, a bearable storm is weathered by savvy treasury management.

More Breaking News

Analyzing non-cash aspects promises insightful stories further. Tangible book values dip at -$.23, a metric trailing behind traditional safety nets but perhaps relevant in real estate, given recent interest rate elevation games. Troubling times don’t suppose doom – return metrics like ROC or return on capital offer hints at new chapters of value growth.

Market Movements and Speculated Impact

Despite Freddie Mac’s bear-wrestling with revenue and mortgage numbers, there seems to be optimism. Observations suggest a stronghold as mortgage rates swing upwards, helping the bank consolidate existing rate-driven profits with broader home finance growth. This suggests a possible continuation of a trend, backed by a stable income unfolding. Freddie Mac’s hooks into mortgage market rate changes represent emerging price terms favorably tilted to echo the mortgage market dynamics.

Contrarily, valuations might cause hemming and hawing in certain investment circles. Dips in book ratios or price-to-sales numbers could unsettle investors wishing for firm grounds. Nonetheless, for those in the fray who value strategic positioning across interest rates, theorized opportunities await. Despite short-lived dips manifesting, optimism blooms from Freddie Mac’s capacity to mitigate losses, offering foreseeable solutions for potentially long-term investors.

Pinpointing Stock Potential

Every hero has its Achilles’ heel – intricate balance tells more than glances. In Freddie Mac’s case, tenacity overplays unpredictability. Deliberate moves coupled with calculated approaches equate to minimizing exposed vulnerabilities as they brace mortgage rate winds. Stakeholders shoulder discernment into market rhythm, riding upward breezes without overlooking potential pitfalls lurking below.

In today’s story of reliability facing financial turbulence, market scalers invite seekers awaiting clarity into Freddie Mac’s journey on the rising tide. Pacified interests balance certainty offered occasionally by fast-moving financial strategies offsetting stylistic jitters dictated by evolving times. Traders enticed by scripture dwelling into understating rather than overstating market speeds stand to justify scrutiny faced whilst batting for Freddie Mac.

Conclusion: Navigating FMCC’s Terrain

The mortgage market, akin to an undulating sea, tests oars-strength day-to-day as upward swells dance with spectacular drops. Position FMCC along the stretch – trials open paths emerging from precise steps. The past’s room for anchorage reduces when unfolding futures rhyme with actionable insights tied to tenured judgment. For traders who listen closely to the forefront, faced with revered constructs behind Freddie Mac’s systematic maneuvers reflect, all resonate with tales-of-you on this stock market endeavor. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “You must adapt to the market; the market will not adapt to you.” Thus, as market winds blow and wise insights bead storms passed unnoticed yet remembered, lending deliberation to intense speculation pathed with heightened mortgage attributes, trading opportunities surface where Freddie Mac lays ground fruitful amidst rapid change, rebuilding their stories anew.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”