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Is it Time to Buy Cleveland-Cliffs Stock After Recent Earnings Reveal?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Sara Smith Fact-checked by John Doe

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is grappling with market pressures as significant attention from different quarters affects its performance. Concerns about operational challenges and market volatility have contributed to the turmoil. On Tuesday, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -9.15 percent.

Key Highlights and Latest Insights

  • The latest Q3 earnings reveal Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s adjusted loss per share was 33 cents, more than anticipated, leading to a notable drop in after-hours trading.
  • Revenue fell short of forecasts at $4.57 billion against the expected $4.77 billion, reflecting decreased demand and pricing turbulence.
  • Following these developments, the company decided to implement a significantly reduced capital budget for the next fiscal year, which also negatively impacted its stock price.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update at 11:37:53 EST: On Tuesday, November 05, 2024 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. stock [NYSE: CLF] is trending down by -9.15%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Understanding Cleveland-Cliffs’ Recent Earnings and Financial Metrics

When Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. released its Q3 results, a lot of eyebrows were raised. The reported numbers proved disappointing, with the company’s adjusted earnings per share falling to a 33-cent loss, exceeding market expectations. Revenue wasn’t any kinder, landing at $4.57 billion—missing the predicted mark of $4.77 billion. Such discrepancies are like uninvited guests at a party—they bring along a cloud of uncertainties and leave investors speculating their next move.

Behind the scenes, quite a few factors brewed this storm. For starters, decreased demand and fluctuating prices compelled Cliffs to idle one of its significantly-consuming assets—Cleveland #6 blast furnace. Additionally, a lackluster performance by key automotive clients added fuel to the fire, considering Cliffs’ substantial footprint in the automotive sector. In truth, this wasn’t just a minor drizzle but a full-blown tempest affecting the company’s financial landscape.

Not all that was reported spells doom, though. Operational efficiency did show a silver lining amidst the heavy clouds, with the company achieving its lowest unit cost since 2021. Such snippets of positivity, though obscured by broader concerns, hint at resilient adaptability—Cliffs’ ability to stay afloat amidst adversity.

Analyzing Cleveland-Cliffs’ financial stature through its profitability ratios offers a deeper understanding. The EBIT margin stands modestly at 1.5%, while the gross margin strides at a steady 28.6%. These numbers, though not groundbreaking, do delineate Cliffs as a company firmly grasping its profit straws, striving to maintain a foothold despite external challenges.

Delving into valuation metrics highlights a complex mosaic of insights. The PE ratio showcases a towering figure at 139.45, making one question the tangible justifications behind such evaluations. Price-to-sales is pegged at a comfortable 0.29, offering perspective on the company’s market value against its revenues. Furthermore, the enterprise value floats at around $9.6 billion, grounding Cliffs as a substantial player, notwithstanding recent setbacks.

On the financial strength front, Cliffs presents a somewhat mixed bag. The debt-to-equity ratio rests at a manageable 0.49, paired with a current ratio of 1.9, reflecting their ability to efficiently meet short-term obligations. Yet, a quick ratio of 0.6 urges a cautious approach, highlighting the need for immediate liquid assets.

The recent fiscal quarter paints a contrasting picture. With revenues reaching a notable $5.09 billion and an EBITDA standing tall at $291 million, Cliffs undeniably showcases significant operational capability. However, with reported net income hanging by a thread at $9 million, investors should proceed with care.

Bearing timely significance, Cliffs’ announcement regarding its capital budget for 2025 reveals strategic restraint. The company aims at a “much lower” fiscal allocation, catalyzing an evident 4.88% stock price decline, resting at $12.47.

Cleveland-Cliffs’ latest market maneuvers introduce a captivating duality—the ying and yang of financial resilience against an unpredictable industrial landscape. Investors pondering entry or exit might find it likened to an ocean voyage; steady during some weeks yet turbulent during others. The path to profitability is paved with strategic nuances not immediately obvious from numbers alone.

More Breaking News

Decoding the Impact of Recent News on CLF’s Market Trajectory

Set against tepid Q3 earning results, Cleveland-Cliffs raced towards the future with an assertive yet minimalist approach concerning its 2025 capital budget. This course aims to tightly navigate uncertainties permeating the steel industry. Yet, the stock’s reaction—a 4.88% decline—spoke louder than plans, echoing investors’ nuanced apprehensions.

Imagine, for a moment, trying to balance on a giant steel beam moving across the sky. That’s what it must feel like steering Cliffs through such turbulent financial skies. Weaker demand and pricing woes were just the start. The decision to idle one of their key assets hints at immediate challenges beyond mere numbers.

For Cliffs, the discourse extends beyond standard financial jargon. It’s about strategically harnessing the tools in their fiscal toolbox—understanding intricate client relationships and finely-tuned decision-making. Consider that two of their automotive giants underperformed—equated to the underperformance of the proverbial goose not laying the golden eggs, dragging down Cliffs’ share into an abrupt southward trajectory.

While this is serious, there are ways out of the financial bramble. Optimization is an art Cliffs must master, leveraging reduced capital involvements for upcoming periods. This entails deftly transforming adversities into opportunities, much like finessing raw iron into refined steel, adding value at every stride.

Dissecting their recent financial announcement further, it becomes evident that leveraging unit cost efficiencies—a point of pride since 2021—will remain vital in crafting recovery scripts. Investors will need to watch keenly as Cliffs rewrites its market narrative, underscoring resilience and adaptability over sheer financial muscle.

Strategically, while current liabilities are offset by sustained equity, sustained vigilance remains paramount. The firm’s adaptability to mitigate supply chain disruptions and recalibrate client deliverables will be transformative in restoring investor confidence and financial stability.

As financial analysts sharpen their pencils, and strategic thinkers polish their slides, the verdict consensus seems cautiously optimistic. Stockholders need to approach this financial dance with informed anticipation—keying into Cliffs’ evolving narrative as it evolves. And, at its heart, the story of Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. paints one of maintaining gravity, while daring to embrace an uncertain industrial firmament.

In the end, the question looms large—where does Cleveland-Cliffs go from here? Will it successfully chisel its path, embedding stronger fiscal foundations, or be led by external currents? Only time will reveal the polished answer.

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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity. Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”