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BigBear.ai Stocks Tumble: Performance Breakdown and Market Prognosis

Ellis HobbsAvatar
Written by Ellis Hobbs
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Tim Sykes

BigBear.ai Inc.’s stock performance is significantly impacted by fresh insights into a strategic partnership with a leading technology firm, heightening investor interest and speculation. On Thursday, BigBear.ai Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -7.86 percent.

Key Market Events

  • Shares of BigBear.ai took a nosedive, plunging 11.7% to $3.23 in recent trading, reflecting market distress.
  • Iceberg Research rigorously criticized BigBear.ai, pointing out a lack of credible AI growth and highlighting significant stock sales by its partner, AE Industrial Partners.
  • BigBear.ai’s CEO, Amanda Long, sold 200,000 shares at $850,000, stirring concerns about internal stock confidence.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:20:07 EST: On Thursday, January 02, 2025 BigBear.ai Inc. stock [NYSE: BBAI] is trending down by -7.86%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Financial Metrics and Trading Insights

In the world of trading, success isn’t just about luck or following trends blindly. It requires a strategy, discipline, and sometimes the wisdom of those who’ve succeeded. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “Be patient, don’t force trades, and let the perfect setups come to you.” Adopting this mindset can make a significant difference. By exercising patience and waiting for the right opportunities, traders can mitigate risks and make more informed decisions, ultimately leading to more consistent success in their trading endeavors.

The financial well-being of any company can often be determined by delving into its key numbers. BigBear.ai’s figures pose a perplexing conundrum. In its latest reports, the company’s revenue was estimated at approximately $155M. Yet, despite this, financial metrics like EBIT and EBITDA margins waver far below the positivity line, at -100.7% and -92.8%, suggesting a severe underlying issue in profitability.

For context, the cash flow statement indicated a drop in cash reserves by almost $6.62M, matching a tone of concern shown in broader financial circles. Observers could conjecture the reasoning behind Amanda Long’s stock liquidation as perhaps an attempt to clear the books, or a signal to hedge bets amidst turbulent waters.

More Breaking News

Balancing agility and pragmatism is crucial in strategy. Key telegraphs like the company’s enterprise value being pegged at about $1.25B and gripping debt-to-equity ratios clocking in over 2.09 indicate a robust strategy needed in shoring up financial strength against impending market cycles. As stock prices flitter between $3.22 and $4.19 over days, it remains unclear whether BigBear.ai is leading a daring charge forward or standing at the precipice of volatility.

Navigating BBAI’s Current Trajectory

The performance dive that BigBear.ai is experiencing recently can often resemble the unpredictability of ocean swells. With the stock drop on December 10 and another wave of skepticism surfacing on December 16, there’s a seeming storm engulfing BBAI.

When Iceberg Research delivers critiques, it’s akin to setting alarm bells in the halls of Wall Street. Their new report marks an austere evaluation — highlighting lackluster growth perspectives in the AI space and making it an unappealing venture for seasoned investors. Their recommendation cannot be overlooked. The market tends to respond to these signals with palpable immediacy, and this was exemplified in the stock plummet.

Would the stock market tide turn again? The interlacing news about Amanda Long unloading 200,000 shares at the end of December only fans the flames. To modern-day investors, these are signs of leadership looking for dry land amidst downpour. The mere act of such a sale brings questions about future valuations, investor confidence, and what the leadership foresees in the horizon.

Conclusion: Unsettled Waters Require Steady Sails

Uncertainty and the stock market run hand in hand, but in times like these, even more seasoned traders find themselves taking a pause. BigBear.ai’s recent financial disclosures indicate severe challenges, while broader news reports suggest a precarious path forward.

Could this bear market turn bullish if the helm is steadied? As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “It’s not about how much money you make; it’s about how much money you keep.” Traders must weigh the recent critiques with the hope that internal pessimism in stock sales can be offset by innovative advances. Market sentiment has a memory; any shifts towards profitability could bear fruit in renewed market confidence. But as it stands, caution remains the wiser part of valor for stakeholders in BigBear.ai’s journey.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

Our traders will never trade any stock until they see a setup they like. Their strategy is to capture short-term momentum while avoiding undue risk exposure to a stock’s long-term volatility. This method is especially useful when trading penny stocks or other high-risk equities, where rapid gains can be made by understanding stock patterns, manipulation, and media hype. Whether you are an active day trader looking for key indicators on a stock’s next move, or an investor doing due diligence before entering a position, Timothy Sykes News is designed to help you make informed trading decisions.

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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”