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AKBA Stock Plummets: Investor Concerns Mount

Ellis HobbsAvatar
Written by Ellis Hobbs
Updated 3/20/2025, 9:18 am ET 6 min read

Akebia Therapeutics Inc. faced significant market pressure following news of an FDA setback regarding their kidney disease treatment, contributing to its stock trading down by -25.7 percent on Thursday.

Latest Market Insights

  • After the unveiling of fourth-quarter results, Akebia Therapeutics observed a notable slide in its share value, plummeting over 14%. Despite surpassing revenue speculations, a broadening loss was reported, casting doubt over its fiscal future.
  • Announcing a fresh strategy, Akebia has embarked on an undertaking to release shares via an underwritten public offer. The specifics about the share volume, however, remain undisclosed as market conditions guide this decision.
  • Further fueling speculation, Akebia granted a 30-day option for underwriters to acquire an additional quota of 15% shares. The potential ramifications for existing stakeholders are being keenly evaluated.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 09:18:17 EST: On Thursday, March 20, 2025 Akebia Therapeutics Inc. stock [NASDAQ: AKBA] is trending down by -25.7%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Earnings Snapshot and Financial Health

Trading can be a volatile and uncertain game, where many participants face the risk of losing more than they gain. It requires a keen understanding of market dynamics and a disciplined approach to managing trades. One of the most important lessons for traders is knowing when to walk away from the market without incurring losses. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “It’s better to go home at zero than to go home in the red.” This mindset emphasizes the importance of preserving capital and avoiding risky trades that could lead to significant losses. Trading success often hinges on the ability to make calculated decisions and to recognize when it’s time to step back and reevaluate, rather than stubbornly holding onto a losing position.

Akebia Therapeutics Inc.’s performance in the final quarter unveiled contrasting financial facets. It managed to exceed revenue forecasts, raising expectations in one corner, while simultaneously reporting a loss that exceeded predictions. The resulting market response reflects an understandable anxiety among investors.

Breaking down the figures, the company’s gross revenue hit around $46.5M, although its EBITDA plummeted to negative territory, around $9.9M in losses. Expenses tallied up to $42.7M, taking a toll on the bottom line, numerically translating to a negative net income of about $22.8M. The company’s gross margin appears robust at over 83%, suggesting effective cost management of production activities, shielding the revenue inflows. However, the profit margin at a negative 43.78% indicates broader issues in overall profitability.

More Breaking News

The revenue per share stood stagnantly at approximately $0.68, raising questions about future value growth when juxtaposed with the brisk declining revenue trend over three and five-year horizons. Contributing to the current storm, Akebia’s burgeoning valuations stand at $661.27M with a perceived price-to-sales ratio of 4.19, which casts shadows of skepticism over its asset liquidity and potential traction among prospective investors.

Revenue Generation Strategies in Focus

The recent corporate decision to issue a public stock offering underscores its tactical aim to tap into external financial resources, possibly to shore up and stabilize its operations amidst these turbulent waters. By not specifying the volume at stake, Akebia appears cautiously optimistic about leveraging prevailing market conditions. Yet investors remain watchful, as the outcome remains tethered to unpredictable market dynamics.

Granting underwriters an additional month-long opportunity to obtain an extra 15% of shares indicates the company’s preparedness to mitigate unforeseen liquidity crunches. If exercised, this option could influence current stakeholders by altering the value dynamics of their existing shares.

Exploring the intraday stock movement, AKBA saw some volatility with morning trades marking a price of about $2.11, fluctuating up and down, hitting lows of $2.09 and highs of $2.19. This erratic behavior mirrors broader investor sentiment, suggesting caution and hesitancy in their approach toward the stock.

Market Speculation: Boon or Bane?

The nascent reaction to Akebia’s stock overshadowed by its recent earnings punctuates a mischievous narrative — one where the glint of potential weaves with uncertainty. The decision to move forward with an underwritten public offering could serve as a silver lining, an opportunity for tactical adjustments, perhaps even an invigorating pivot in strategy. Yet the swirling clouds of uncertainty are undeniable.

On the surface, the key financial metrics carry an air of volatility. The absence of clear profitability outlines evident risks — at the heart of which lies a detrimental profit margin and a precarious valuation framework. Investors find themselves at a juncture characterized by uncertainty and speculative conjecture, raising pertinent questions about the company’s future viability.

Investors’ Crossroads: Weighing Risks and Opportunities

Addressing the grim specter of losses will demand keen recalibration and decisive action from Akebia. The evolving market stance hinges on the company’s strategic recalibrations, which, if timely and effective, could script a narrative of recovery and restored trader confidence. As millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes says, “The goal is not to win every trade but to protect your capital and keep moving forward.” This wisdom serves as a reminder that to ride the rough waters, a focus on enhancing operational efficiency and exploring burgeoning revenue avenues will be paramount. In today’s landscape, marked by promising innovations and a push toward pharmaceutical advancements, Akebia could yet unfurl prospects beyond the current ambiguity. The market waits with bated breath; at stake, the realization of potential, or perhaps a warning tale of ambitions unmet.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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Ellis Hobbs

Trainer and Mentor on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge
He teaches webinars on Tim Sykes’ Trading Challenge He treats trading like a business, not a hobby He emphasizes taking small risks — “If you get the process right, money is a forgone conclusion.”
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”

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