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What I Learned From My Mistake

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 11/25/2022 6 min read

Last week we saw several stocks continue to heat up due to the overall strengthening of the market…

Just take a look at the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA)

DIA chart 1-day candles Source: StocksToTrade

Despite the solid run-up we have had over the last few weeks, I haven’t been as aggressive as I wanted to be…

But I am ok with that because it’s all about understanding the process and recognizing these patterns.

Remember, small profits continue to add up and over the last 30 days, I have been able to profit $6,400! 

We have seen a lot of multiday runners and stocks breaking through key resistance levels over the last few weeks…

Which ultimately sets us up for one of my favorite patterns, the morning dip-buy.

Remaining disciplined and knowing how to spot these opportunities is going to be crucial over the next few weeks…

As I expect the January Effect to start ramping up, here is what you should start preparing for in the coming weeks!

Stay Disciplined 

No matter how long you have been trading, you will make mistakes…

We are all human, and we all make mistakes at some point in our lives.

Just think about it, how many times have you made a mistake in your life?

The same thing applies to trading, you will eventually make a mistake…

But you need to be aware that any mistake you make while trading could cost you money.

Let’s say that you wanted to hold onto a stock thinking it’s going to bounce back…

And all it does is go down more and more…

Next, you know you just lost the majority of your trading account by holding and hoping.

That’s not trading, that’s just hoping you get lucky with every trade you make.

You have to accept the fact we will all make mistakes and it’s crucial that we learn from them.

Last week I made a mistake and realized missing opportunities like these is something I should never miss again…

So what I did was make sure I was prepared for the next opportunity that came my way.

Don’t Miss These Perfect Setups 

When you have these multiday runners, they could offer you some amazing opportunities.

Last week I traveled to the west coast and I was tired, so I didn’t wake up in time for the opening bell.

When you know about these perfect runners as we have had over the last several days, you need to wake up!

There was no excuse for me missing this perfect setup.

I am not going to let this missed opportunity let me down, or become frustrated about missing it…

Instead, I learned from that mistake and I was going to be sure that I wasn’t going to miss the next opportunity.

Over the last few weeks, we have seen Meta Materials Inc. (OTC: MMTLP) have a nice run.

MMTLP chart 1-day candles Source: StocksToTrade

But when you have a runner like this, you have to expect the stock is going to have a panic, eventually…

As the stock broke through another resistance level, it started to panic when it hit its highs…

And that was the opportunity I missed.

MMTLP chart 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

Here you can see the stock nearly dropped from $12.00 a share to just below $11.00 a share, and bounced back up over $12.00.

These are the panics that you want to look for…

And after missing this opportunity, I knew there were others out there and it was just a matter of time before they panicked.

Over the last several days, I have talked about Cloudweb, Inc. (OTC: CLOW)

CLOW chart 15-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

CLOW has had an impressive multiday run, and it continues to trend upwards…

But we have noticed a few morning panics along the way, but it has continued to close strong at the end of the day.

Above you saw the morning panic I missed from MMTLP, but a day later, I was prepared and was watching CLOW and was hoping for it to panic…

And boy it did!

CLOW chart 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade *Risked 4100 in capital to profit $505

More Breaking News

I was able to dip buy this off its bounce and profit 12.31% from this trade.

Moving Forward

We all had a moment in our lives where we had to put things behind us and look ahead to the future.

I did just that with the trade I missed and looked for the next opportunity instead of dwelling on the past.

At the end of the day, we all want to make money…

So it’s important to find these opportunities, take quick profits, and cut losses as soon as possible if things don’t work out as planned.

I want everyone to study this pattern and everything leading up to it that made this a perfect morning panic.

It doesn’t matter how old the trade is, it all boils down to being able to recognize these plays before they happen and to be ready.

Study up!

Cheers,

Tim


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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”