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Trading Lessons

Top Stock Spikes: Trump’s Inauguration Jan. 20

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Reviewed by Jack Kellogg Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs
Updated 1/15/2025 5 min read

Donald Trump’s Presidency already caused a lot of volatility in the stock market.

Major indices pushed to new all-time highs after November 5.

And he technically isn’t the President yet … The inauguration is January 20 at noon Eastern.

We only see election-trade opportunities every four years … 

Take a look at the market since Trump won the election on November 5. On the S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) chart below every candle represents one trading candle:

SPY chart multi-month, 1-day candles Source: StocksToTrade

Key crypto coins also made new all-time highs. Take a look at Bitcoin below, every candle represents one trading day:

Bitcoin chart multi-month, 1-day candles Source: BitcoinWisdom.io

The next Presidential catalyst is right around the corner: Trump’s inauguration is on Monday, January 20.

We’re watching stocks like Trump’s Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT) as we approach Monday.

Plus …

I’m hosting a LIVE prep session tonight with Jack Kellogg at 8 P.M. Eastern. We’ll gather to plan positions for this unique election surge!

See the post on X below:

Reserve your spot now!

Let’s look at the current DJT price action in today’s blog to prepare.

It’s consolidating above a key support level …

Trump Price Action

© Millionaire Media, LLC

We have to be aware of the long-term chart for DJT.

The share price spiked past $70 in 2024 … Traders who bought at that level could still act as bag holders to oppose a price spike higher.

But don’t worry, the chart also shows obvious levels of support and resistance that we can use to build smart positions.

There’s an opportunity here, we just have to approach it correctly.

Take a look at the multi-month chart below of DJT. Every candle represents one trading day:

DJT chart multi-month, 1-day candles Source: StocksToTrade

If we zoom in on the intraday price action recently, we can see a spike to $43 and consolidation around $39.

On the chart below, every candle represents one trading day:

DJT chart multi-day, 1-minute candles Source: StocksToTrade

The volatility grows as we approach Trump’s inauguration on Monday, January 20.

But be careful … Traders can still lose money on this stock.

We have to follow certain trading rules to keep our account safe.

For example: When we’re approaching a highly publicized catalyst in the market (like Trump’s inauguration), we follow a rule called ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’.

Here’s what it means:

There’s no telling what a stock will do when the catalyst comes to pass …

  • It’s possible that everyone who would have bought already did in anticipation of the catalyst.
    • Then, when the event comes to pass, there are only sellers left and the price tanks.

We can trade the volatility before and after the inauguration, but don’t hold shares through Monday’s event.

For a comprehensive trade plan, join the LIVE prep session tonight at 8 P.M. Eastern!

More Trump Stocks

© Millionaire Media, LLC

DJT isn’t the only stock we’re watching …

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is another stock that experienced bullish momentum after Trump won the presidency.

This is largely due to Elon Musk’s new friendship with Trump and Musk’s efforts to get Trump elected in the final months of the election race.

Phunware Inc. (NASDAQ: PHUN) is another Trump-related stock that I’m watching. And it’s much cheaper than TSLA and DJT.

PHUN helped Trump during the election race in 2020 that he lost. The price action still reacts to Trump-related news.

Keep an eye on these stocks as we approach the inauguration on Monday and throughout the next week.

Remember, don’t hold shares through the inauguration.

How I plan to play this momentum.

Cheers.

 

*Past performance does not indicate future results


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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”