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Why I Prefer This Time To Trade In A Falling Market

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 10/3/2023 6 min read

When a major league baseball player goes to bat, timing is everything…

And being just a second off could be the difference between a hit or an out.

The same thing applies to trading, you need to know how to time your trade to help put yourself in the best position possible…

And being off by just a few minutes could make all the difference between a win or a loss.

That’s why today I’m going to share a strategy that helps me time the majority of my trades…

And why I prefer to focus on this specific time of day to give me the best possible outcomes.

Let’s dive in.

Focus On The Morning

If you’ve attended my LIVE trading sessions or have been keeping track of my most recent trades…

You probably know that my favorite setups are the morning panic dip buys.

For over the last 20+ years, I have found this to be the most reliable setup for newbies and traders with small accounts.

How is that possible?

Let me explain…

I’m not just simply buying any stock that’s falling first thing in the morning…

There’s more to it than just that.

First things first, I tell every one of my students they need to focus on big percent gainers…

And the reason for that is because this is going to be a key starting point for this strategy.

Simply put, the higher these stocks run, the more predictable their panic is.

It’s all a part of my 7-Step Penny Stocking Framework… 

And the best time to buy the dip is typically in the morning.

If you’re looking to trade a stock that isn’t a big percent gainer, and has had barely any movement or volume, you’re not going to have solid setups for you to capitalize on.

You may get a 1 or 2% move at best.

This is one of the biggest mistakes new traders make…

They tend to focus on mediocre setups and when you do that, you typically get random results.

When you’re trading with a small account, you want to be able to put yourself in the best position possible to be successful…

And with these morning panics, you typically want to have higher volume and more volatility. 

For example, yesterday when I was scanning the market I was focused on SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: ICU)

At the time I’m writing this, ICU has spiked from nearly $0.16 to $0.72 in just a few days…

That’s a 350% move!

Those are the types of moves I’m looking for and when I see one, I’m always keeping a close eye on it to panic.

I want you to know this wasn’t one of my trades from yesterday, but it could be as soon as today or tomorrow!

It’s just the starting point and here’s how it helped me yesterday.

Timing Your Trade

I’ve been anxiously waiting for a big morning sell-off.

The reason for that is that when you get those quick sell-offs first thing in the morning, that’s when you see some of the best morning panics…

And when it comes to buying the dip, I want it to sell off by 30%, 40%, or even 50% first thing in the morning.

When most newbies see that, they tend to panic and think there isn’t anything left to do…

But that’s not the case.

When it comes to buying the dip, you don’t want to guess when to buy it…

That’s like trying to catch a falling knife with your bare hand, which won’t always end well for you.

Let me show you what I mean and why timing is so critical.

You may have remembered me talking about Bionomics Limited (NASDAQ: BNOX) from earlier in the week…

Here’s the chart…

Source: StocksToTrade

BNOX has continued its trend higher squeezing shorts out of their position over the last few days.

Earlier I mentioned the longer the stock runs, the better opportunity for it to panic…

And yesterday morning, I saw an opportunity to buy the morning dip…

Here’s what I saw…

Source: StocksToTrade

BNOX fell from roughly $4 to $3.75, that’s only roughly a 7% drop, not as big as I wanted…

But I saw there was a big wall of buyers that were creating support at $3.70ish.

I entered my trade at $3.74 and sold it at $3.95 for a 5.61% profit. (Risked $4,488).

I typically look for a 5-10% bounce with these plays, so as I hit my target, I get out quickly to protect my gains.

Now let’s look at another stock I was closely watching, Femasys Inc. (NASDAQ: FEMY)

Source: StocksToTrade

You can notice how much choppier this play was and you never really got that ideal panic in the morning…

It just went up, down, up, down…

And it just kept fading lower and lower.

When BNOX sold off it created a base at that support level and started to trend up from the wall of buyers…

More Breaking News

But with FEMY, the price action was way too choppy for me to safely trade it and I wasn’t willing to risk my hard-earned money as it continued its trend downwards.

Staying Safe

At the end of the day, it’s important that you know how to protect your earlier gains.

Way too often traders get greedy and caught up in a stock that completely tanks where it could wipe out their weekly, monthly, and even yearly gains…

Trust me, I’ve been there.  

We’re trading penny stocks and at any moment we could see news that sends the stock soaring…

Or send it spiraling out of control.

That’s why I often end my trades quickly for tiny profits, or tiny losses because I want to keep my hard-earned money safe.

There will always be more opportunities out there, there’s no need for you to hold and hope for the stock to rebound.

So what can you do differently to help yourself prepare for the future?

Keep focusing on the latest trends by clicking here to see what’s happening in this week’s FREE Trading Session!

I’ll see you in chat!

-Tim


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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”