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Short Selling- Tim's Trading Challenge

In Reply To James Altucher Regarding War & Stupidity: Why Justin Bieber Might Become President & The Future Of The Human Race

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 2/2/2021 4 min read

Reading the best blogger of our generation James Altucher’s latest post entitled “Name Me A Single War That Was Worth It”, I can’t help but focus in on one key point he makes, saying “I’m not trying to be “pro-peace”. I’m more anti-stupidity.”

My entire trading strategy and education business is based on anti-stupidity, but despite my success I know this is a losing battle…as evidenced by the world’s biggest pop star doing business deals with a fundamentally flawed company like Options Media Group Holdings, Inc. (OPMG) and perhaps more importantly, the thousands of gullible investors who failed, like Bieber’s advisors, to do thorough due diligence of the company, a company whose president just resigned when a Florida blogger discovered his felony conviction.

And to those lying on message boards about why I write articles like THIS exposing the company’s “fundamentals”, I am not short the stock, never recommended shorting the stock, in fact recommended buying the stock in my initial post since it was so low priced…well, I’ll give you the same reason as James Altucher does to those who try to twist his words: I’m not trying to be “pro-failure”. I’m more anti-stupidity.”

This email I recently received from one of my Trading Challenge students and its accompanying chart are relevant here, check it out:

You always say that you would short the human race if given the chance. As you’ve proved over and over again, our existence is like a sketchy pink sheet company. This graph proves you might be on to something…our race looks like a classic pump and dump to me. Short sell!

Respectfully yours,

A Challenge Student.

Human Race
Human Race

And because I know stupidity isn’t going away anytime soon — in fact the case could be made that stupidity is in the midst of a multi-century bull market, despite the efforts of people lie Altucher, myself and millions of other writers and educators — I can’t help but think the human race chart will inevitably end up looking like one of the penny stock pumps I track and short sell every day, “good-to-zero” (GTZ) stocks that have surged due to blatant stupidity, which is also their undoing once reality sets in…stocks like Jammin Java Corp. (JAMN) and Lithium Exploration Group Inc (LEXG)

Penny Stock Pump #1
Penny Stock Pump #1
Penny Stock Pump #2
Penny Stock Pump #2

How ever this is one pump and dump I can expose but not profit from as there REALLY are no shares to short in this case.

It’s unlikely I’ll be able to live long enough to see the seemingly inevitable drop as we create more advanced weaponry able to kill millions of people in an instant and our leaders will likely be voted in not due to their intelligence or understanding of the consequences of using such weaponry, but thanks to their popularity and ability to influence millions of people with nice-sounding but ultimately misguided and dangerous actions…like the president in Idiocracy…people like Arnold Schwarzenegger and Justin Bieber.


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”