timothy sykes logo

Penny stocks Watch lists

How To Find The Best Stocks

Timothy SykesAvatar
Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 2/2/2021 5 min read

We just recently unleashed https://www.stockstotrade.com which has preset defined scans on how to find the best stocks to trade, but if you want to search for companies that actually make money, well, trading challenge student N.L. has a useful guest blog post for you:

Companies are created with the sole purpose of making money. After all the growth that companies aim for it comes down to how many stacks of cash they make. When you are looking for stocks that have a good chance of one day popping you can look to small, low-priced companies that still manage to make cash.

Download the key points of this post as PDF.

Setting up a Screen

There are many parameters you could set to discover these, but a few are basic. A price under $10 seems like a good place to start. You can tweak this all you want, but $10 always seems like a good number to find stocks that are more on the fringes.

Mutual funds are falling out of favor because of ETFs, but they are still big players. Many have bylaws that do not allow positions in low priced stocks. This can help make $5 and $10 critical levels. ETFs might have the same bylaws, you’d have to check for each ETF.

The next parameter should be the market cap. This one is very flexible. Setting it to $250M minimum is a solid starting point, though you can go as low as $100M to cast the net wide. On the upper end $1B or $2B seems like a good place. You can leave it uncapped if you like. After all huge companies with a low price and making money are fine as well. However, with a larger company I would keep an eye on the PE ratio. I will talk about the PE later.

The final parameter for a simple screen is the free cash flow. When using a screen the trailing twelve months is a better thing to look at. However, free cash can vary wildly so when evaluating a company it might be better to just look at the quarterly numbers of the last few years. On the screen you can just set free cash to be greater than 0. That is the widest net possible.

Potential Modifications

Using those parameters you can get a few hundred hits. You could easily just work your way down the market cap ladder, but there are a few parameters you can use to narrow the field and get yourself thinking. For each of these you would run one or a number of them on top of the original ones you used setting up the screen. However, consider removing them and going with a different set too.

Revenue growth is a great measure for a small company that has free cash. Some companies just make money but do not really grow. This is a way to have a growing company, but that have robust profit margins that outstrip their capital expenditures. You do not need to use an EPS measure, because looking at free cash flow and its growth is good enough.

You can filter by the PE ratio too, though just glancing on them when you build a watch list. This one is really dealer’s choice. Obviously, you should always consider if the stock is overvalued. If I set this as a parameter I would use a wide berth so as to render it fairly moot. Though getting a good picture of the entire list by using a PE TTM filter of 15 and below can help narrow things down.

Companies with consistent free cash flow don’t normally have debt problems, but generally you can look for any red flags. An extremely high PEG ratio would be one, but really it just depends company to company. Free cash flow is such an endgame metric that you can be sure that there probably are not too many red flags, especially if you include revenue growth.

What are you Looking for?

You are just making a watch list so just choose your favorite 20-50, depending on your ability to keep track of that many. Really you would be looking for quick overviews once a month and just scanning it every day for odd movements. If a cheap stock with free cash flow and growing revenue is increasing by 2% per day, then it is something to take a look at. It really does not take a lot of time. Most phone brokerage apps have the ability to have watchlists and you can just scan down the list after the market closes. They are color coded, though you do have to read the numbers yourself.

Companies making cash but neglected by the market might not stay that way. This is especially true if they are small and growing. It can happen with companies in low overhead, high return businesses. An example would be a subscription-based business where the cost of adding new subscribers is minimal and actually reduces the average cost per subscriber. You still charge them the same so it gives fatter and fatter margins.


How much has this post helped you?



Leave a reply

Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”