timothy sykes logo

4 ways to catch breakout trades EARLY

Timothy SykesAvatar
Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 7/21/2026 4 min read

I used to think I had to time breakout trades perfectly.

But it’s easier than that.

The best breakouts I’ve ever traded were OBVIOUS (early). They left clues: clear levels, tight price action, big catalysts, steady volume.

You have to know what to look for while the pattern is still forming.

Once the stock is ripping past resistance, you’re probably too late.

First, I’ll walk through what a quality breakout setup looks like, how I plan the trade, and why the early signs on the chart matter more than the breakout itself…

Then I’ll show you how to have a plan before the key resistance breaks (so you’re already in the stock when it starts going full Supernova)…

What Makes a Breakout Worth Trading?

A breakout happens when a stock breaks above a key resistance level, a price the stock has recently (or historically) struggled to trade above.

These levels are like invisible walls on the chart. When they break, huge moves to the upside often follow.

These crazy breakout/squeeze plays are happening nearly every day in this ridiculous market…

And 99% of these plays don’t last more than one day…

But every once in a while, when it happens on strong volume, the break can signal the start of a new trend (and maybe even a Supernova move).

There’s nothing better than watching a chart break out on huge volume into blue-sky price discovery, prices the stock has never seen before.

But if you aren’t in the stock before the biggest piece of the breakout, you’ll probably end up chasing the top…

The 4 Steps to a Face-Ripping Breakout

Here’s what I look for in every breakout pattern:

  1. Tight consolidation near a clear resistance level
    A strong breakout usually comes after price action gets quiet and compressed right under resistance. If the candles are getting smaller and overlapping, with clear support holding underneath, that’s a signal…
  2. Volume gradually picking up into the setup
    You don’t need a massive volume spike right away. But when volume starts to increase slightly on up days, that shows buyers are getting active early. It’s a sign that demand is building.
  3. Clean levels with repeat tests
    A strong breakout level gets tested multiple times. The more often a stock knocks on the same ceiling, the more likely it is to break through with strength when it finally clears it.
  4. Orderly charts with consistent price action
    If the chart is wild or full of failed breakouts and fakeouts, I usually pass. The best setups look obvious in hindsight because they followed clean, predictable price behavior.

Get my full trading formula THIS FRIDAY.

The Only Way To Catch Breakout Trades

Once I find a breakout setup…

  • I mark my level, define my risk, and set an alert.
  • I don’t want to jump the gun and buy into resistance. I want the stock to prove it can break out and follow through.
  • I wait for the breakout to happen with confirmation. Price should move through resistance with strength and increased volume.
  • I’m looking for a clear shift in momentum.

The trick is to prepare ALL OF THIS before the breakout happens. That way, when the move triggers, you’re ready to act quickly and decisively.

You’re not scrambling to figure it out in real time because you’ve already set the terms of the trade beforehand.

The next time you see a chart keep trying to break resistance on higher and higher volume, take a closer look…

It just might lead to a massive breakout.

Cheers,

Tim Sykes


How much has this post helped you?



Leave a reply

Author card Timothy Sykes picture

Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
Read More

* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”