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Beyond Meat: Awesome IPO or Big Misteak?

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Written by Timothy Sykes
Updated 2/2/2021 5 min read

There are plenty of buzz-worthy IPOs hitting the market lately, and even more on the horizon…

The latest to capture traders’ collective attention? Beyond Meat, a purveyor of faux-meat products that claim to be “the future of protein.”

With mounting interest in vegetarian and vegan lifestyles, the company’s products hit it big in the mass market in a relatively short period of time and can be found in retailers and restaurants worldwide.

But is that enough to make for a successful IPO? Can Beyond Meat bring home the bacon — or is it just a flash in the pan?

Let’s explore the company, and I’ll share my thoughts on whether it warrants a spot on your watchlist.

The IPO: What We Know

The IPO date hasn’t been announced, but here’s the talk on the street…

The initial public offering will be for 8.8 million shares, with an offering price between $19 and $21 per share. This would give the company a market value of about $1.21 billion.

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To put that in perspective, Beyond Meat’s reported revenue last year was $87.9 million, with a net loss of $29.9 million.

Nice to (Beyond) Meat You

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What’s so great about Beyond Meat? Here are a few Beyond Meat facts that traders find appetizing:

  • It’s trendy. All the cool kids are going plant-based, and Beyond Meat is the ultimate accessory for the vegan in-crowd. The company’s investors include the likes of Leonardo DiCaprio, and Bill Gates (also an investor) plugged the products on his personal blog.
  • The company is growing. Beyond Meat products have been adopted by more and more retailers and markets since the company’s founding in 2009. While their first big customer was Whole Foods, now you can find them in all sorts of mass retailers and restaurants. Case in point: TGI Fridays now offers a branded Beyond Meat cheeseburger.

My Beef With Beyond Meat

OK, so it sure seems like Beyond Meat has a lot going for it. But this is key…

The company is not currently profitable.

Yes, Beyond Meat’s revenue has grown in recent years. But it still hasn’t turned a profit. And its losses aren’t improving much. In both 2017 and 2018, the company’s losses were about $30 million.

Sure, the IPO could help the company raise money to do things that could help them turn a profit. But I like to see cold, hard evidence, and this company doesn’t have a profitable track record … yet.

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Is the Beyond Meat IPO Worth Your Time?

Some traders will rush to buy Beyond Meat stock the moment the market opens its IPO day. But is this a good idea?

Not necessarily…

Here’s the thing with IPOs: The lack of history makes it very hard to make calculated decisions about how the stock price might perform.

Sure, it’s possible that the stock will leap to incredible new highs within minutes of the market open. But then again, it could spike up briefly, then start a downward descent that just won’t let up.

Consider Blue Apron (APRN). It traded for about $10 per share at its IPO. Guess where it’s trading these days … for about $1. Bet some of those first buyers wish they waited!

Beyond Meat: The Final Word

Beyond Meat is a cool company that seems poised for growth. But my suggestion is to proceed with caution.

With any IPO, it’s generally smarter to wait a little bit before jumping in. That can give you a better opportunity to get a read on the stock’s direction.

Amateurs rush in — separate yourself from the novices by waiting for some chart action. If it’s a worthwhile stock, you’ll have your chance to get in on the trade. Don’t let FOMO dictate your actions.

What do you think of the Beyond Meat IPO? Leave a comment and let me know!


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Timothy Sykes

Tim Sykes is a penny stock trader and teacher who became a self-made millionaire by the age of 22 by trading $12,415 of bar mitzvah money. After becoming disenchanted with the hedge fund world, he established the Tim Sykes Trading Challenge to teach aspiring traders how to follow his trading strategies. He’s been featured in a variety of media outlets including CNN, Larry King, Steve Harvey, Forbes, Men’s Journal, and more. He’s also an active philanthropist and environmental activist, a co-founder of Karmagawa, and has donated millions of dollars to charity.
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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”