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#1 2008-09-24 12:24:42
- alsandair

- Registered: 2008-09-19
- Posts: 21
Alsandair's Trading Blog
I am going to make a blog on my trading successes and failures here. Sure none may be interested, but I sure am as it's a great tool to help me look back at it all and make me a better trader. If you want to follow along thanks I appreciate it and if you don't screw off! lol. I'm going to post all of my trades by month as they happen. Each month will be a new reply to this blog. Feel free to reply with any comments, observations, advice, etc...
Introduction:
So... I never have shorted before and I start learning about it after trading for a few months and I happen upon a Mr. Timothy Sykes. I spend a few days and realize that I need to get TimAlerts as I am very interested in this concept especially on penny stocks. OH NO PENNY STOCKS?! lol. How could I even Consider this? Isn't this risky? From what I've learned, yes of course... but without risk there is no reward and if you know what to look for... then is it that risky?
I was trading long with Cramer and watching the talking heads on CNBC and with a limited amount of capital on stocks whose price movement was limited. I did horribly. I was always worried to short. Once I started studying Tim's work, it was a very enlightening thing. I'm going to take this $18,000.00 and I'm going to double it or die trying.
Last edited by alsandair (2008-09-24 12:46:17)
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#2 2008-09-24 12:25:39
- alsandair

- Registered: 2008-09-19
- Posts: 21
Re: Alsandair's Trading Blog
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Sept. Starting Total: $18,177.33
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Sept 24 SIL SHORT 1000 shares @ 3.82 exit @ 3.60 = 220.00 +5.8%
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Sept 25 QCOR LONG 800 shares @ 7.06 exit @ 6.95 = (88.00) -1.6%
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Commission Costs for Sept: (35.80) Running total
Profit/Loss for Sept after Comms: $96.20
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Sept trades thoughts and overview:
Sept 24 - Trade 1: SIL
Got the alert on SIL early in the morning and figured it was time to initiate my first short. Saw the action on SIL shorty after Tim's perfect short entry and it looked like a breakdown! I didn't want to miss that down side momentum. Problem is I hit my entry low at 3.82 and then... BOOM big time turn around... SHIT. Oh well breathe and chart. Saw that resistance was near 4.11. Damn did it hit it... I was hanging on tight and realized to just chill out and made a note to work on nerves and to quit being such a pussy. I also realized I went in so fast I had no stop gain or loss pre-set. I need to work on looking at each of these tickers Tim puts on his alerts and the ones I'm into really chart and set up entry and exits... sometimes though like this with SIL you just know it's going down and you get that gut feeling. So I held on. The action on this stock was hairy and with me having under 25K I don't have the freedom to trade this one over and over. I liked 3.60... there's the cover... there's the profits. I like this... I really really like this ![]()
Sept 25 - Trade 2: QCOR
Bah! Shit morning... missed a great short on MFN after doing my research on it last night, missed a SIL short this morning because I wasn't quick enough and to timid to pull the trigger, and decided to go in on bad timing with QCOR long after tims notification in the chat room. Poor timing all the way around... not quick enough and to shy to pull the trigger... and trying to focus on to many plays at once seriously screwed me. Mark this up for one crap day. Loss 88.00... education costs money and so does sloppiness.
Last edited by alsandair (2008-10-06 11:58:08)
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#3 2008-09-25 14:24:55
- admin

- Registered: 2008-02-17
- Posts: 1036
Re: Alsandair's Trading Blog
keep sharing, thanks!
"Check out my brand new DVD, ShortStocking - the only guide you'll ever need to profit from short selling!"
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#4 2008-10-06 11:55:57
- alsandair

- Registered: 2008-09-19
- Posts: 21
Re: Alsandair's Trading Blog
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Oct. Starting Total: $18,273.53 [Portfolio Since Inception: +0.5%]
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Oct 6th FEED LONG 600 shares @ 5.49 exit @ 5.76 = 162.00 +4.7%
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Oct 8th ISRG LONG 40 shares @ 192.00 exit @ 192.00 = 0.00 0.0%
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Oct 9th MHGC LONG 800 shares @ 6.38 exit @ 5.77 = (-488.00) -9.6%
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Oct 16th OCCXD SHORT 700 shares @ 4.99 exit @ 4.70 = 203.00+5.9%
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Oct 21st GRRF SHORT 3000 shares @ 1.55 exit @ 1.768 = (654) -12.4%
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Oct 28th HSNI SHORT 800 shares @ 5.96 exit @ 7.09 = (907.62) -16%
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Oct 28th HSNI SHORT 800 shares @ 7.25 exit @ 6.97 = 224.00 + 4%
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Commission Costs for Oct: (125.30) Running total
Profit/Loss for Oct after Comms: (-$1585.92)
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Oct 6th - Trade 3: FEED
Still holding Tim's hand here. The trade he initiated with feed he noted as tricky because of a falling knife. Tims going long here and it makes me nervous LOL. But, he's been playing the game a long time and I'm going to go with him on this one. Glad to see it too, as my trader finger was getting a bit itchy. Put down a small position and will reload if it dips lower. Also will keep a close eye on this chart. Looks decent and I do think this will rally with the market... here's to making money :)
Update: Amazing... So I may have sold a bit early and been a big pussy, but I'm a pussy with money. I'm going to watch this and see where it tops for the fun. Also, I have two more trades this week, so here's to making more money ;)
Additional Note: This is why I like this blog... I just mentioned how I feel I pussied out on this by not holding a bit longer. The stock reached 6.00 recently and I went to look back on past trades.
An excerpt from my SIL short on the 24th: "Damn did it hit it... I was hanging on tight and realized to just chill out and made a note to work on nerves and to quit being such a pussy."
Note to self... quit being such a pussy. Go for big profits...
Oct 8th - Trade 4: ISRG
Tim alert comes out on ISRG, not his usual play. Looks good to me... I chart it and see that the resistance lies on 192.00. He gets in at 188 and change. I see it dip down to 186 right on support market looks like its turning around. My instincts tell me to buy... it's risky but no risk no reward... I wait... I decide I will see it breach the resistance of 192.00. It hits 192 and i think to myself theres $240 upside I just missed... but its ok at the time... I wait for the break of the resistance line... It breaks... shoots to 193 I wait till it comes back down.. catch it at 192... Breaks to new high above 194.00. Im sure its on to 200.00 and then... it fades... doesn't look good. Tim confirms my fear. He sells at 193 ish. SHIT! Wasted a trade, only lost the commission... all in all intelligent trading. Going to the chart I played it right. Following my instinct... I failed. There's my money Schwab... go buy a pizza you fucks.
Oct 9th - Trade 5: MHGC
Bought and held expecting some type of rally today around 9:50. I figured we would get some type of rally... I was wrong. I held on because I was trying to learn from past experience. Now I'm down more than I started with. Wonderful... That was the last trade for the week. Tried doing one on my own. I'm very disappointed in myself. Most likely the rally will happen tomorrow and I won't be able to participate.
Oct 17th - Trade 6: OCCXD
Following Tim on this one. Was an easy borrow for me at Schwab. Was nice to see as lately the last few shorts APWR, BWEN haven't gone through. Nice entry @ 4.99 rode it down to 4.20 region. Riding high. Then a reversal in market boosted stock. Tim covered at 4.50. I didn't want to hold on overnight but had trouble with covering at 4.50 and 4.60. Time went by and broker was not putting the cover through. I had to go for the 4.70 ask. I panicked when I shouldn't have. Looking forward to future trades. Trying to get back to even...
Oct 21st - Trade 7: GRRF
Went off a suggestion to short this stock off of someone in chat. Got caught in a squeeze... ouch. One thing I was having a hell of a time covering. This was my first experience of a short squeeze, it doesn't feel good... now I know how dangerous it is. It was interesting though that while there were a few million shares of this being traded it was so hard to dump and cover. One thing I noticed afterwards... respect the chart. This was not one of the classic short patterns that Tim goes after. Another hard bought lesson and one hell of a big loss.
Oct 28th - Trade 8 & 9: HSNI
Shorted this stock twice. Resulted in another huge loss. Got caught in my second short squeeze. At one point I was up $200 waiting on this thing to break. It started going up. Tim covered at 6.20. I posted a cover as well for a small loss at 6.22. Damn broker never filled it. Sat there forever well below an ask of 6.22. Then boom the thing rockets off to venus. Cover at 7.09... OUCH. Second Alert comes out I try to recoup some losses on this pig. Short at 7.25 and cover at 6.97. I could have road it lower but after that experience I'll take it. I'm really having a bad month down 9% for the month so far. I'm going to be keeping my eye out for a trade from TIM this week. One left... let's hope I can erase some of these huge losses.
Last edited by alsandair (2008-11-06 12:13:54)
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#5 2008-11-03 06:53:46
- alsandair

- Registered: 2008-09-19
- Posts: 21
Re: Alsandair's Trading Blog
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Nov. Starting Total: $16,687.61 [Portfolio Since Inception: -8.2%]
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Nov 4th CVI SHORT 1000 shares @ 5.01 exit @ 5.05 = ( 40.00) -1%
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Nov 6th PNK SHORT 800 shares @ 6.30 exit @ 6.09 = 168.00 3.4%
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Nov 12/13th UYG LONG 100 shares @ 7.02 exit @ 7.49 = 47.00 6.3%
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Nov 13th UNG LONG 100 shares @ 27.23 exit @ 27.17 = (6.00) -.03%
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Nov 17th PERY SHORT 1000 shares @ 5.00 exit @ 4.78 = 220.00 4.4%
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Nov 20th HOTT SHORT 500 shares @ 6.90 exit @ 6.67 = 115.00 4.4%
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Nov 20/24th UYG LONG 100 shares @ 3.66 exit @ 4.30 = 64.00 14.9%
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Nov 25th WSM SHORT 800 shares @ 6.75 exit @ 6.61 = 112.00 2.1%
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Nov 26th USO LONG 50 shares @ 41.95 exit @ 44.11 = 108.00 4.9%
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Commission Costs for Nov: (161.10) Running total
Profit/Loss for Nov after Comms: $626.90
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Nov 4th - Trade 10: CVI
My first loss I'm happy about. I followed Tim's rules. Set a tight stop (maybe to tight), on this one of 5.05. I rode this down to 4.80 which was support. I held for big gains and watched it crack. I was thrilled. However.... HUGE SPIKE. Tim stated in chat that it was most likely a dumb ass posting a market order sucking up all bids. I'm noticing a pattern in which Tim sends out an alert and it seems as if someone is almost counter acting him. I wouldn't be surprised at this. Bunch of haters ruining it for newbs like me seems to be a valid trader strategy. Anyway, I'm happy with this loss. I was waiting for it to crack 4.80 and both times it touched and rose. I told myself if it did that twice that if it hit a tight stop of 5.05 I would sell. Looking back it might not have been the right call, ut it was a smart call regardless and I'm following the rules now of keeping losses small. For the next few weeks I'm going to focus on the ride down and take a quick $100-200 profit instead of the "BIG SCORE". I think this is what I need to do at my current cash level. I could have been up 150+ easily today had I covered around the 4.80 area. All in all, I'm happy with this loss. No more losses in excess of 5%. Now I focus on winning and thinking like a winner. There were a few factors which made me sell as well today at a tight stop. 1.) The spike looked like another short squeeze to me and I have already had 2 wonderful experiences with these last month. 2.) The market was strong on this election day. (Shorting in this market now is a bit more dangerous then before). 3.) Oil is up big on the day and CVI is an energy play. I have traded enough energy stocks to know they can be volatile as hell. I made the rght call and I live to see another trading day. Damn the PDT rule with three trades every five business day this most certainly sucks. I'm focused on making gains now... and I'm happy I followed Tim's rules that I have now adopted and will never forget. The last 5 weeks I have learned more in trading then the whole year I traded on my own. Now... let's make some money.
Nov 6th - Trade 11: PNK
I liked this trade. PNK had earnings today. Thing shot up... pattern was a spike almost felt like shorting at 6.70. I held off... earnings day = big volatility. It would have been gambling. Later in the day an hour before earnings at 10:am est, I noticed the pattern tim talks about; sideways action; low volume; etc. Thought about shorting again once I recognized the pattern at 6.50. However, it was still green for the day and the conference call was an hour away. I listened to the conference call while happening. The stock started to weaken. As I listened to the CEO he opened horribly... I saw the weakness and I took it... shorted at 6.30. I had a plan to cover at 6.50 if this thing went sour on me, but after a small bump this thing headed south nicely. Covered near its short term support at 6.09. This thing can go down huge, but like I said... for now small hits. I'm fine with making 170 in 15 minutes... for now.
Nov 12th - 13th Trade 12: UYG (Does not count as day trade)
Funny how you learn a lesson over again and again. On this one I went in with the idea to "buy on the way down"... Yea I thought it looked so tasty lol. But I had a strategy planned out on it and I figured that eventually it would have to go up. Yea sucker sign lit up on the back again. I was itching for a trade, something. I learned patience again. So I bought in on this and watched it tank. I was fine with it only bought 100 shares at 7.10. Big deal down 100+. Still it was eating at me... had I committed the same mistake... a 10% loss+ is still a loss. I realized even while the stock went up the mistake I had made and watched it soar and soar and soar. Still I did not care, I was green on the day, but I made a horribly bad decision. I was going for the "long" haul. I realize this is not my style and I already realized that this will get me nowhere fast. After hours the stock was at 7.49. I sold for a profit and reminded myself that winning doesn't mean shit if you won because you got lucky. Lesson relearned... Apparently I'm a slow learner look at the portfolio lol.
Nov 13th Trade 13: UNG
I trade oil and gas fairly well in my history so I played the natural gas inventories today on the UNG ticker. Bought a 100 shares at 27.23 and watched it soar before the report. I was riding high and was fairly sure with cold weather and depressed nat gas prices that my call to pick this stock up was a good one. The reports came out... big surplus. Stock started to tank. Fun thing is I didn't panic. I realized that no matter what happened to the rest of the day with this stock, that I learned to cut my losses short. Dipped down low and I sold it back up on a bounce for a small loss at 27.17. It felt good. Cut losses quick and don't look back! However, In hindsight (LOL), I should have played the run up to the inventories report and sold just before the announcement. I will remember for next time.
Nov 17th Trade 14: PERY
I shorted this piece of shit stock at 1 o'clock. It stayed at 5.00 for an eternity. The damn thing had me on pins and needles as the market was doing a dance all over the place. Up down Up down market fluctuations driving me mad. The whole time this stock stood still between 5.00 and 5.04. It was like listening to nails on a chalkboard in my head watching this thing. I'm very much like tim in the way I trade that when I initiate a trade I am glued to my screen and don't set stops. I however am not even close to as successful in how I execute things (workin on it lol). This thing would just not budge... and then like a ray of sunshine... tim appeared in the chat room, "SHORTED PERY @ 5.00". Could it be? Did he just short PERY? By god... it was as if angels had started singing from the heavens above. However this stock was not going to see heaven... oh no... and like that... CRACK... the thing broke like water from a dam. Now it occurred to me that I may have an amazingly stellar price on shorting this thing as I got in at 5. But, I thought to myself, remember what you said! Small hits... no going for the fences. I said it earlier in my trading blogs and I meant it. I borrowed 1000 shares of this shit at 5.00. Once I saw +$200 at 4.78 I said... I'm cool and I'm out... base hit. Let's make some more money.
Nov 20th - Trade 15: HOTT
Been following this one for awhile now. Waited till after earnings. Earnings were decent forward guidance was not. The thing was hitting a long term peak. I wanted to short at above 7 but didnt get home till like 10am. Caught it on a nice bounce at 6.90. Went in lightly because the market is testing dow 8000. Saw it go down to 6.65 a few times and not break. I knew in the long run it will go down further but again base hits. Covered at 6.67. I'm happy... continue the base hits... Let's make more money.
Nov 20th - 24th Trade 16: UYG
Wanted to play a bit with lil' skin in the game. It was just due for the bulls to hit back. What better place than financials. This trade was thought up as a contrarian play to all of the more than negative news everywhere you look. It was just at all time highs and to easy to pass up to do the ol swing play. 100 shares of UYG half the price I bought it at over a week ago lol. No brainer. Made some pizza money on it had a blast smiling my ass off on this one. Plenty more upside not only in this stock, but in the stock market in general. I'll let the market run up a bit before my next short... most likely near S&P 900. All in all I lost some upside potential... I don't give a shit... made my money... on to the next...
Nov 25th - Trade 17: WSM
Spotted this beauty from Tim's watch list. i'm liking to short the retailers recently. Seems like they are destined to go down easier than up. Market's iffy when i initiate this trade. Obama just gets done speaking. I'm going on technicals on this one. I see it flatline. I go in 800 shares at 6.75. It bumps up near 6.88. No big deal but looks strong. Getting nervous, but holding still. Tight stop set at 6.93. The more I'm trading the more I'm realizing to follow my own rules and stay disciplined. I'm really liking it. I see this thing stutter than drop. Ride it down for a bit I'm up $100. I think about a market rally and don't like the concept of it. Earlier I stated I believe the market is eventually going to s&p 900-950 from graphing... In this market it could happen today. More bullish lately than bear.. I'm thinking... I cover at 6.61. Ends up dropping much lower and I'm ok with it. These gains are quite paltry, but I'm following the plan... base hits. Let's make more money.
Nov 26th - Trade 18: USO
Fundamentals appear to be creeping back into the market slightly. Of course this is only temporary. We are nearing the range of s&p 900-950 that I believe will signal a turn around back towards the lows set a few days ago. Based on the fact that it's the day before thanksgiving and that sentiment tends to be more positive as of late, I decided to try and long something. I looked at the dropping dollar... I thought of oil. I watched the oil report... very bearish. However there was a full recovery in a drop off that looked like a cliff. Interesting... I longed the USO after the recovery from the drop near 41.95. I was delighted to see it act bullish. Tons of upside potential in oil right now. However... base hits... I rode this thing all day. Neared the high of the day and I was up $100... Sounds good to me... Sold at 44.11. Now let's go eat some turkey
Happy thanksgiving all.
Last edited by alsandair (2008-11-26 16:26:02)
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#6 2008-12-05 12:05:39
- alsandair

- Registered: 2008-09-19
- Posts: 21
Re: Alsandair's Trading Blog
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Dec. Starting Total: $17,314.51 [Portfolio Since Inception: -4.7%]
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Dec 5th CHRS SHORT 1500 shares @ 1.65 exit @ 1.59 = 90.00 3.7%
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Dec 5/8 FSLR SHORT 15 shares @ 119.30 exit @ 134.85 = (233.25) -11.6%
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Commission Costs for Nov: (35.80) Running total
Profit/Loss for Nov after Comms: ($179.05)
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*What I've learned so far about trading:
1. Know the trade - Know what your stalking and look at it's history. Define your stops. Know the trade.
2. Stay disciplined - Knowing the trade is great, but the next step is to follow the rules you have set for your trade. This is the number one flaw I found in my trading. I wasn't trading, I was flopping around like a fish. Think of it as a sport and win.
3. Know the pattern; watch for weakness; play on psychology - After trading for some time you start to feel these charts, especially when you've been stalking them. The large hump and flatline... is a great entry on a red day when the stock is in the red or showing signs of toppiness and low or trailing volume.
4. Have Patience; Let the trade come to you - Yes this is a very difficult aspect for most. By trading like a maniac you are nothing more than addicted. Play it smart and have patience to wait for good plays. Don't gamble, play with the odds in your favor.
Dec 5th - Trade 19: CHRS
Been following the market the past week. Missed the big drop on Monday cause the kiddies had a no school day. Since Monday kinda been moping around waiting for opportunities. Let the trades come to you. Market's in limbo and no one's pumping stocks. Pretty lousy conditions to short in, speaking in general terms. Found a nice intra day spike from CHRS, missed the top end, but I nabbed it around 1.65. I went in lightly on Tim's suggestions because who knows what could happen in this market. Went in this for a bunt and thats what I got. Got to find something tasty I can really sink my teeth into next week. Good news is on my last 10 trades 8 were successful (knock on wood). Base hits is slow business... but working. Soon, I will try and hit a double every once and awhile. Let's see if we can get me back to even. I've now learned tons since starting and am ready to continue to think like a winner and make smart trades.
Dec 5th - 8th Trade 20: FSLR
Stupid. Went to short FSLR. Long term yes I think it's going down. I ignored the head winds of a market bouncing and had a plan to add more if this went higher. Mistake. I shorted something related to oil after the whole comlpex was at a multiyear low. My thought was that oil would go lower than 40.00. I also thought with the economy in the shitter and the demand for gas down that this trade was a win. I was cocky with all my god trades and said fuck it. However, I did not time this trade at all. I did not think of dip buyers at the level I shorted FSLR at and I did not take heed to the market reacting great o a terrible news day. Mistake... I held it over the weekend with an impending auto bailout which most likely will take the entire market up short term. I thought overall that I could hold onto this trade and add to it. Mistake. All around sloppy and I let it run longer than I should have. I did not cut my losses quickly because I thought big deal its only 15 shares... stupid! One piece of good news is i didn't panic and found a nice exit point for Monday. Yes this could possibly go down however I don't have the patience to wait. Reminder to self... quick trades and base hits. Chalk this up as a loss, but a win for reminding myself of my own lessons and keeping me sharp. Now let's make some money!
Last edited by alsandair (2008-12-08 14:57:18)
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