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http://timothysykes.com/2008/04/23/stop-shorting-penny-stocks-randomly-this-isnt-cnbc-i-want-you-to-profit/

Archive for the ‘Patterns To Avoid’ Category

Stop Shorting Penny Stocks Randomly, This Isn’t CNBC, I Want You To Profit!

Tags: 101bad, Bad Trades, CNBC, DVD, Manipulation, Patterns To Avoid

I’m seeing a lot of comments/emails from people re-shorting these pump and dumps waaaay late in the game, just because they missed profiting from the initial dump. Here’s a tip—STOP!

Yes, these companies are all crap (okay, okay 99.9%, but this is the last time I’ll ever qualify that), but you gotta understand crap companies can and do rise faster than quality companies for several reasons:

a.) there’s no pesky actual businesses to get in the way of hyping / putting out fraudulent / exaggerated press releases so investors must only be convinced of the dream, not the execution of the dream, which is helpful considering the harsh reality / inevitable failure of these companies

b.) no pesky morals or ethics instilled in those who manage such companies / promote such stocks  

To Short Sell Or Not To Short Sell, That Is The Question

Tags: Breakdowns, Breakouts, Hot Stocks, Patterns To Avoid, Patterns To Short, Potential Plays

There are a great many microcraps surging—some look to be potential shorts, while others, you just gotta sit back and watch them play out:

As I’ve repeatedly posted, I’m short (EDEN) cuz it’s the perfect mix: failing company, quick spike followed by gradual fade and most importantly, the spike was caused by erroneous reporting. Forget about guessing games, TheStreet.com handed this to us on a silver platter!

TIGR’s still great to short, but good luck finding shares!

PDO and MXC Two little oil plays that are spiking, be very careful, remember, they’re not pure pumps as they are tied to that strongly performing commodity (that ain’t easy to short…remember the KOG…which itself is breaking above recent highs aka not a short!)

ENT is another small energy outfit trying to spike here, although its spike is rather gradual as it’s seemingly going for a cup and handle breakout…not a short!

Speaking of not shorts, FEED, WSCI and UFPT can never seem to go down—when stocks go up 4, 5, 6, 7 days in a row, they’re obviously not one time pump and dumps and they can go a lot further than you’d ever expect—take a look at this GENC chart below to see what I mean!  

The Second CNBC Stock Pump In As Many Days

Tags: Analogies, CNBC, Celebrities, Manipulation, Patterns To Avoid

I’m always ripping on Inspectd.com for being too simplistic/dangerous/giving chart reading a bad name…here’s a perfect example why, GTE, the latest Jim-Cramer/The Rock CNBC/WWE pump…yup, it’s been a whole 2 days since the last one…hurtful to naive investors…unethical…great for speculators…wake the f%#@ up SEC!

gte.png

Chart shows a clear breakout, but it’s already off its high cuz this ain’t big-time breakout-type news. Sure, shorts are scared—as they should be—Jim/Dwayne/Cramer/Johnson’s no dummie for picking a solidly uptrending stock near its highs…but c’mon, can you smell the fakeout cookin’?

rock.jpg

 

UPDATE: Now TITN breaks out to a new high thanks to a CNBC ention–damn, stock promotion is a happening biz, Lebed, you must be making some good $, right? Maybe CNBC should think about getting reimbursed by these companies, just put a lil disclaimer that no naive investor would ever see…c’mon Ge, you know you wanna, get those annual profits up from $300mil to $400mil, you can do it, you can do it all night loooooooooong!

Disclaimer: I have no position in either stock, I’ve tried playing The Rock’s picks from both sides, some stay up, some reverse, no edge, not much predictability, no thanks…I just think it’s wrong how the WWE frames it, creates a lot of unnecessary bad blood, ya dig

7 Stocks You Shouldn’t Trade, Long Or Short

Tags: Patterns To Avoid, Potential Plays, Uncategorized

Nothing particularly special, but that’s no reason not to get to know some messy chart patterns…aka learn what kind of chart patterns NOT TO PLAY!

A few weeks ago, AsiaInfo Holdings Inc. (ASIA) reported great earnings, now it’s consolidating…blehhhhhh…this stocks loves to breakdown after spiking, but now has positive news for a change. 50/50 up or down, leave this one alone.

asia

Converted Organics (COIN) is full of pumpers and recently executed a perfect double top at $14, but it still broke out of a multi-week base in the $9-$11 range. Wait for it to prove itself above $14 or for the bottom to fall out…until then leave this to the pumpers and suckers.

coin0228

 

Two Examples Why You Should Never Underestimate Takeover Rumors

Tags: Guessing Games, Patterns To Avoid, Rumors

People love shorting strong stocks that are up on takeover rumors. They reason “these companies are blah blah blah” and “their businesses are blah blah blah”. I won’t use any examples because the details are quite inconsequential, it’s the same pattern again and again. No matter how good or bad a company is, how full of BullShip the management is (good!)(for shareholders) or bad they are (meaning they’re idiots or they tell the truth)(first one is common, second, extremely rare, aka never, but if it did happen, it’d be bad for shareholders because the truth is ugly), the industry, the potential, the hot tip your roommate/coworker/mistress tells you about the play, whatever, these rumors may turn out to be true. So, what are short sellers doing—they’re playing the classic Wall Street guessing game. Right or wrong, they give short sellers a bad name. I want no part of it. Let me explain.  

3 Disgusting Stocks That Exemplify PennyStocking, Don’t Hate The Game, Become A Playa!

Tags: DVD, Manipulation, Patterns To Avoid

Screw Vegas, Screw Wall Street, Welcome To The Gutter, There Be Gold Yonder!

Despite the marketing efforts of low priced stock pumpers on all the message boards, I’ve been rather negative on Force Protection (FRPT) for a while now—I hate when management says everything’s fine when clearly, as evidenced by the near perfectly downtrending stock chart and negative comments from its major customers, everything’s not. But with Friday’s orders (already expected) and this weekend’s positive NY Times article, maybe, just maybe, the perception tide is turning. I’ll wait and see if the stock can extend much beyond Friday’s 10% rally—and while I doubt we’ll be seeing double digits anytime soon—there does seem to be a base forming around $4, so the downside appears limited. Then again, when management loses credibility, who knows what to believe (other than the stock chart, that is). If you think I’m not taking a stand on this one, you’d be right, too many conflicting variables for my tastes.

frpt5

 

Timometer

UPDATES

May 16, 2008

My whole KYUS saga...still a solid profit of $350 today, the only time I shoulda been playing this stock

May 16, 2008

10 stocks to watch today

PDO already up $1.25, sux I'll be away all morning workin' on TIMtv, got 500 shares reserved to short if need be this afternoon

Also reserved 3,000 FORC and KYUS for potential shorts

May 15, 2008

Yup, by next Monday, everything's gonna be real working-like!

May 15, 2008

PDO, up $4+ today, will teach you not to randomly short strong penny stocks, get in, get out then run...cuz sometimes they squeeze stubborn shorts to death!

TIMtrades

Learn from my successes, learn from my failures, learn from TIM. Learn more HERE.

Date Stock Buy Sell Net
May 16 KYUS $2.50 $2.49 $67
May 12 CNEX $7.20 $6.00 $740
May 7 VRML $3.05 $3.75 $890
May 6 VRML $4.42 $4.36 $180
May 5 LGDI $4.42 $4.67 $353
May 2 VM $3.97 $4.01 $12

Total: $18,523 ( 50% )

TIMreads

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