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http://timothysykes.com/2008/05/13/how-i-broke-my-rules-and-lost-short-selling-a-fraud-cannon-exploration-inc-cnex/

Archive for the ‘Breakouts’ Category

How I Broke My Rules And Lost Short Selling A Fraud, Cannon Exploration Inc (CNEX)

Tags: Breakouts, Fess Up Time, Hot Stocks, Patterns To Buy, Supernovas

Just about everyone and their mother understands Cannon Exploration Inc (CNEX) is a an outright fraud. Whether you look at PinkSheets.com displaying a skull and cross bones with the tagline “Caveat Emptor” next to its stock quote, its now $470 million marketcap (at $7.25 stock price), the blatant pumping by all the usual suspects and the fact that this company has no business of any kind and has now septupled (7x) in price in 5 days all due to a fluffy PR announcing a new website and a sketchy letter of intent to acquire a seemingly real business, no doubt in exchange for pumped up shares.

Knowing all that, you might understand why I shorted 600 shares yesterday at $6/share half expecting it to go higher—with the goal of averaging my cost basis up too—but never excluding the possibility of a quick $1-2 drop in price.

That’s all well and good, but as a PennyStocker, I have no excuse and my $760 loss (I just covered at $7.20), including commissions, is well deserved. Because while this company is scummier than most, it’s just the latest pump and dump that can—and often do—run further than anyone thinks possible so I still should’ve played by the rules I myself created! Rule #1, don’t short randomly strong penny stocks, you gotta wait for the price action to concur with your thesis. Usually it’s best to short into the market close of the first down day of a big runup, but sometimes that’s too late, so shorting in the afternoon when this kind of a stock goes from positive to negative often opens the door to a big afternoon dump.  

10 Stocks In Play: Where Do You Fit Into The PennyStocking Spectrum?

Tags: Breakdowns, Breakouts, DVD, Hot Stocks, Missed Opportunities, Potential Plays, Short Selling, Short Squeezes, Supernovas

Remember: just cuz I suck at buying breakouts—patience and actually being around to buy-wise—doesn’t mean you’re gonna suck at it too. It’s much much much easier to buy these suckers on the way up than is it to short sell cuz it’s more fun to party than it is to inform everyone that the bar is closing and that the strippers all have STDs….that’s basically what it’s like to short these dirty scummy stocks. Below you see a wide range of PennyStocking View definition in a new window patterns from which you could and should profit…really just gotta get grounded in my DVD course so you can understand all the variables at work so you can adapt to all the evolving patterns…obviously.


LGDI
VRML

Plummeted bigtime/nicely…despite my $1,000+ in gains between LGDI and VRML, holding one week longer coulda woulda shoulda been an extra $3,000 in profits at yesterday’s closing prices! Are you beginning to understand that as long as you short these turds just as their absurd Supernova buying firestorms appear to fade, even just a little bit, there’s a whole lot of $ to be made? (and despite my 56% return over the past 6 months, anybody who has a decent grounding in PennyStocking could should would be up 100%+ (See TIM results and Supernova slide above to better understand)

NNVC
PSTI

Already began to fade…missed NNVC, thanks a lot Chuckieeeeeeeeee, PSTI so gradual, anybody find any shares to short?  

12 Hot Stocks For Manipulation Monday, Wish It Was Supernova Sunday

Tags: Breakouts, Hot Stocks, Manipulation, Patterns To Buy, Potential Plays

PSTI
Everybody and their mother is contacting me about this pump and dump to short…now that I have some capital/trades available to me this week, I might short it, but it is down $2 in 6 days and there’s really only $1 of downside left

XRM
March’s big drop was due to its debtload, now a solid earnings report has brought it back up…not a pump and dump, I’ll avoid it…for now

SSBX
It’s a friggin Bancorp! That just reeks of boredom…barely up, let e know when it go up ore than 50%, or changes its name and gets into cancer research of wind energy

APWR
Speaking of breaking wind, this guy just broke out for a second time in a few months, seems ike forever since THIS post (why I’m anti-investing), although it was about as gradual as my descent into madness, aka not all. I trust this company about as much as I enjoy pissing into a wind blower, but I respect this breakout enough not to short it…yet

VRML
Watch, it’s gonna tank below $2.50 today just to piss me off. Beautiful thing about PennyStocking
is that despite my passengers-watching-an-Arab-on-an-airplane-like patience, the longer you hold these ideal plays, usually the better. I’m fine with my 20% profit though…  

A Short Seller’s Dozen: What Stocks Get Pumped, Must Come Down, Usually

Tags: Breakouts, Hot Stocks, Impatience, Potential Plays

VRML Short 1,300 @$3.75
LGDI
SUNV

Getting up bright and early, I reserved shares in all three of these stocks to possibly short today, not knowing which I’d actually short. LGDI didn’t even trade for 5 minutes and when it did, it moved slower than an under-cooked lobster. SUNV didn’t breach the key $1.20 level until the afternoon (when I had no trades left), so it was all about VRML.

I wanted to short into strength cuz it was a classic short covering rally from yesterday’s $1.75 pullback off the highs…given the magnitude of the declines and that it’s still up 300+% in a few days—on an ill-researched story thinking this near bankrupt company will do anything but go under—meant short sellers would be aggressive. Afraid I’d miss the probable pullback, I jumped the gun too early, shorting 1,300 shares at $3.75…as I watched it hang around $3.90 x $4 for another 30 min, I wasn’t very worried as the big buyer blocks were only on the bids—the wall of sellers at $4 never in danger of cracking—a clear sign of pumpers trying to scare up buyers/short covering…inevitably, the volume faded, the bids disappeared and the stock spent the day chomping gradually away at its early gains, few buy orders at the ask. I’d call it a perfect crack of sideways price action in the $3.60 range, but it still managed to finish up on the day, so it’ not totally perfect…just yet.

Despite my poor timing, I’ve got a nice $380 profit so far, I let it ride overnight cuz I think it goes under or around $3 today or tomorrow, possible big stop loss panic if it take out $3, might get to cover at $2.60-$2.75ish if I’m lucky.

VNDA
Nice gradual fade, but not my ideal PennyStocking short, too tight a chart/variables not fraudulent enough to squeeze one in

BDCO
Everyone’s goin crazy over an 18 cent gain, leme know when it gets to $3, until then jewwwww noooo  

15 Low Priced Stocks: Buy & Short Sell Some, Avoid Most, Despise Them All!

Tags: Breakouts, Charts Rock!, Hot Stocks, Manipulation, Pattern Day Trader Rule, Potential Plays

First, let’s get the fun / useless guessing game contest over with—with YHOO’s $24.37 closing price, there were 2 winners: Ann-Nan Lo $24.50 and DarkMatter $24.24—congrats guys! (UPDATE: Ann-Nan Lo has been disqualified cuz her winning guess was her second…wow, my readers are on top of things!)

Now to business, stocks with predictable charts—doubt any of these topics will get 200+ comments, but gimme a few years to set you straight. Tons of plays, gonna be handicapped yet again by the SEC pattern day trading rule—all that handicapping inspired me to write one hell of a post, which I gotta vet with a lawyer…

VNDA
Yes its bounced, but its a ton off its highs and it’s an earnings play, still watching it, doubt I’ll have the buying power to touch it, f$#@ you SEC!

LGDI
My top play for today, made $350 ayer, look to make more if and when it cracks $4.40 to the downside, could / should move fast when it cracks as that’ll put it slightly down on the day, potential to go all the way down to $4, then it’s a game of whether or not stop losses can get taken out, $4.05-$4.10 if it holds, $3.60-$3.70 if it doesn’t…and this is all of course after the probable / hopeful morning short squeeze View definition in a new window, which could / should retest highs, pleaseeeeeeee…game of chess baby, I don’t know how to play, only game I know is PennyStocking where you gotta think a few moves ahead!

SUNV
Kills me I didn’t short into yesterday’s spike, read my twitter message about it (Follow me on there to get quick messages like that), I was all set! That calls for my second f$#@ you to the SEC in as any minutes.

FEED
Lesson in why you don’t scalp these range bound suckers, use my friggin experience to your advantage you dumb Jews!  

10 Hot Stocks: Hanging Out With All The Liars, Cheats And Frauds In Penny Stock Purgatory

Tags: Breakdowns, Breakouts, Financing Deals, Hot Stocks, Manipulation, Patterns To Buy

Seeing all the soulless scumbags around me, I can’t help but feel like this guy…name the movie!

LGDI.OB agri is so hot right now, great fluffy PR this morning, this is a solid pump—probly created by those who got cheap shares as disclosed in THIS toxic SEC filing just a few days ago…chart reminds me of NCEN from a few weeks ago—which dropped 40% off its highs, but patterns evolve (that’s right, you can’t just memorize patterns and then trade—you’ll get your ass handed to you, you actually gotta understand the variables that align to create them so you can ADAPT to change, as detailed in my instructional DVD PennyStocking) (welcome to why this niche is different from all others aka my publishing business model)

SUNV.OB Not enough time in the day to explain everything wrong with this company, its all just exemplified by this blatantly misleading press release, an interview for which they paid, no different from the half dozen mentions HERE for which the pumpers paid  

Trading The Latest Hot Beverage Stock: Skinny Nutritional (SKNY.OB)

Tags: Breakouts, DVD, Hot Stocks, Manipulation, Patience, Patterns To Buy, So Hot Right Now, Story Stocks

Skinny Nutritional (SKNY.OB) (oxymoronic?) just launched the latest zero calorie water brand, Skinny Water, lured in some third-tier Coca Cola executive to serve on their board, basically entirely for his title (giving him 2mil shares–and many others many millions more–while unsuccessfully / humorously / amateurishly trying to ticker spam that announcement to get included in the Yahoo! news of Coca-Cola bottling (COKE), Pepsi (PEP) and of course Coca Cola (KO) (silly pumpers, for some strange reason, you guys haven’t read my book An American Hedge Fund, if you had, you’d know ticker spam is for kids…back in 1999-2000!), all the while trying to pitch themselves as the next Vitamin Water.

 

Parabolic Stock Chart Of The Day: Unisource Energy Corp (UNS)

Tags: Breakouts, Chart Of The Day, Hot Stocks, Potential Plays, Short Squeezes

Overworked as I’ve become, I really appreciate it when you readers alert me to some solid opportunities. Today’s chart of the day comes courtesy of InvestorsLive (see MarketKid, that’s how you link when you feature someone else’s idea on your blog!)

Rather expensive, fundamentally sound, tied to commodity prices and slow moving for TIM to play, nonetheless, I consider all surging stocks as potential shorts…just gotta be extra careful on this one as its managed to take out 9-month resistance, then again, it has gone parabolic so we could see some conso0lidation soon…

We Are The Three Amigos: 3 Natural Gas Plays & Some Other Banditos

Tags: Breakouts, Hot Stocks, Patterns To Short, Short Selling, Supernovas

(MXC) The fist of 3 spiking AMEX microcrap nattie gas amigos with under a dozen employees…you wanna talk about the worst companies out there, well, here you go, hardly any business at all…but that won’t stop them from spiking because nattie gas has been soaring and people loveeeee speculating on these POS…couldn’t find any shares to short, too bad…

(PDO) The 2nd of 3 amigos, recognize this chart pattern? I’m short 700 shares @$6.20 because it faded gradually into the market close yesterday and I’m looking for it to take out stop losses at $6, so I can cover in the $5.60-$5.80 area…it’s a small position because I truly hate these AMEX commodity plays, you remember how KOG went!

 

Pirates Pretending To Be Pig Farmers (Seriously)

Tags: Analogies, Breakouts, Capital Raising, Criminals, Financing Deals, Story Stocks

Wow and I thought I liked money—the pig f#@!ers over at Agfeed Industries (FEED) raised another $25mil just 7 days after their first $10 mil plundering financing. The short time span between blatant dilution financings tells us now it’s gonna get interesting, a.) we’re def. gonna see more pig farm acquisitions (no doubt at the typical 2-5x income), which given soaring commodity prices, investors are gonna like (good short-term, but dangerous long-term aka why can they get them so cheap?) and b.) whoever bought these shares is even more motivated to turn this into a Wall Street darling telling clients and paying off/bribing getting others to tell their clients “with the Olympics coming up and food prices soaring, this is how you invest in both trends” (BS generalization).

Other than scalping, the rise is too gradual to warrant any shorting and if done right, this could become a great pump and dump story stock, meaning the potential upside is enormous…so respect the pump, buy if it suits your personality, don’t short too soon and never ever believe the hype. When this thing dies down—and it will eventually die, as 995 out of 1,000 piece of poo companies do (seriously)—its chart will resemble similarly flawed fraudulent microcrap lover of acquisitions ZVUE.

Timometer

UPDATES

May 16, 2008

My whole KYUS saga...still a solid profit of $350 today, the only time I shoulda been playing this stock

May 16, 2008

10 stocks to watch today

PDO already up $1.25, sux I'll be away all morning workin' on TIMtv, got 500 shares reserved to short if need be this afternoon

Also reserved 3,000 FORC and KYUS for potential shorts

May 15, 2008

Yup, by next Monday, everything's gonna be real working-like!

May 15, 2008

PDO, up $4+ today, will teach you not to randomly short strong penny stocks, get in, get out then run...cuz sometimes they squeeze stubborn shorts to death!

TIMtrades

Learn from my successes, learn from my failures, learn from TIM. Learn more HERE.

Date Stock Buy Sell Net
May 16 KYUS $2.50 $2.49 $67
May 12 CNEX $7.20 $6.00 $740
May 7 VRML $3.05 $3.75 $890
May 6 VRML $4.42 $4.36 $180
May 5 LGDI $4.42 $4.67 $353
May 2 VM $3.97 $4.01 $12

Total: $18,523 ( 50% )

TIMreads

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