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How I Screwed Up These Two Near-Perfect Calls To Sell Short

Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 06:22:42 PM

Take a look at my latest two trades—shorting 1,200 shares of probable-fraud spam-happy BSHF into a morning dip at $2.55 and 1,000 shares of failing business-so-let’s-float-a-takeover-rumor VM into a nasty slightly negative close yesterday at $4.01—both of which tanked 15%+ within a few hours of market action of my shorting. Great calls to be sure, but I somehow managed to screwed both up–and judging from the comments, I’m glad many of you guys did better!

Unfortunately, the BSHF pattern appeared the day before this new website went live and since it didn’t tank in the early morning EXACTLY like I wanted, I covered for a $75 loss since I had a million things to do to make the launch. Didn’t feel guilty about it until later in the day when it tanked 50 cents/share in a perfect representation of a spam stock falling apart! Sad sad sad, but one of those rare unavoidable situations.

bshfbreakdown How I Screwed Up These Two Near-Perfect Calls To Sell Short
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Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 03:39:32 PM

Another TIMradio interview, you wanna hear more about microcap stocks, this is it, the best a man can get!

TIMradio #2: Cameron Fous, TheTechnicaltrader.net, Another Successful Microcap Trader Whaaaaat

Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 03:33:32 PM

All right, stop, collaborate and listen, TIMradio is back with a brand new edition…everybody give a warm round of page views to Cameron Fous of TheTechnicalTrader.net who not only plays microcap stocks from the opposite side as me–meaning he buys them on the way up–he’s in Idaho or some weird place like that, he’s younger and a better trader than me (except the last 2 weeks, haha suck on that Fous!)–with his account up 450%+ in 2 years.

Interview with Cameron Fous of TheTechnicalTrader.net

Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 11:44:14 AM

Is this guy a pump and dumper–you know what I think, what say you?

Is Dennis Gartman A Classy Pump And Dumper? You Be The Judge

Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 11:34:52 AM

Let’s see what you guys think: after I labeled him a “classy pump and dumper” in THIS post, Dennis Gartman, the man himself, was kind/brave/classy enough to post this comment under that post:

Tim,

I take rather strong exception to your comment referring to me as a “Pump and Dumper.” That is simply not true. I know of no one in the industry who puts forth his positions in the funds managed or the personal trading accounts run that are as transparent and as clear as are mine.

Rather than “pump and dump” COIN last time, I bought it and ended up losing a goodly sum of money… Indeed, that was the largest loss I’ve had this year, although I remain up 7% for the year-to-date, and was up a bit more than 22% last year, and nearly that same amount the year before that, and the year before that. Oh, and the fund I manage in Canada is up 29% from its inception last April, so clearly I have some modest abilities in the arena of investing/trading.

At any rate, I have indeed bought back into COIN; the company intrigues me. My position is small, and as is always the case, I’ll add more when my initial positions proves profitable and has been insulated from what I perceive to be random market noise.

Warm regards,
Dennis Gartman

Dennis, thanks for your reply, I never meant to offend you—it’s nothing personal, it’s just business—tracking pump and dumps is my business. When Barrons publishes a list of your stock picks and COIN a.) is the only microcrap listed, b.) the company not only has a shady past, but is directly connected/managed by people with shady pasts and c.) you admit to selling into strength just a few days after that article, strength that was directly caused by your article, something ain’t right.
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Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 09:12:09 AM

10 hot stocks today and basically why they all suck

10 Hot Stocks And Why It Might Be Fun To Short Sell Them

Posted by timothysykes on Fri 2nd of May, 2008 09:10:33 AM

VM
After missing out on perfect 10%+ afternoon fades both Wednesday and yesterday (dan you publishing business model!), I shorted 1,000 shares at $4.01 into the market close yesterday…while I’d have preferred to short into some kind of bounce—as it might bounce a bit early today—this thing had too many things going for it: first down day, filling the gap perfectly, after a multi-day runup smack into resistance, a strong long-term downtrend, a history of rolling over after spikes, a failing business, upcoming earnings (where they’ll probly fail some more, as is their tendency)…there are buyout rumors so it’s not an ideal play, but I’ve learned to trust chart patterns much more than humans. It’s really gotta crack $4—if it does, stop losses and the chart pattern should bring it down to $3.6-$3.75 eassssy…not as much downside potential as I like here though and given the tough environment lately, I’ll play this one somewhat safe
vmbreakdown 10 Hot Stocks And Why It Might Be Fun To Short Sell Them

MESA
Nice gradual intraday and multi-day uptrending, TheLion was all over this and that’s why they’re on TIMfavs (many more websites coming soon…)

JRJC
It’s baaaaaack, this Chinese spiker is trying to do what it does best, kinda tough to do into such a multi-month downtrend, but it actually helps too cuz lots of shorts are getting squeeeeeezed. This is now the 7th big spike where the last 6 proved to be great shorts—no pattern works the same each time, they evolve baby, as shorts are learning
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Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 07:29:42 PM

April Review is up, a solid 5% gain…welcome to PennyStocking, wait ’til there’s a month without any ideal plays, as is inevitable, then you’ll really appreciate talking photos like this

April Review: A Solid 5% Month Defines The Life Of A PennyStocker

Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 07:23:21 PM

April was an interesting month—finished up just over 5% to finish at $18,284. Many great trading lessons, in the first 10 days, I got off to a booming start—as there were PennyStocking plays galore—but I didn’t earn a dime during the second half of the month. Not because there weren’t plays, more due to not being able to properly research/watch the markets every second like I like as I was speaking, traveling and working on this new website. Life usually does get in the way of the trading, but that’s fine—I’ve learned you need balance. Take it one pump at a time, profit as much as you can, enjoy the rest.

And, in case you cared, website traffic, while down slightly from March, grew steadily over previous months, and if you take out that huge one-time gain thanks to my Facebook convo with Ashley Dupre, hit a new all-time high…people are tired of all the finance BS, brutal honesty is the clear solution.
aprilsite April Review: A Solid 5% Month Defines The Life Of A PennyStocker

Here are posts you need to memorize for a quiz on Monday:

Successes

PennyStocking is all about predicting 10% price moves

It’s easy, but you gotta find shares to short cuz everybody wants in!

It’s fun when the media helps manipulate prices

It’s even more fun to trade in the airport (not)
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TIMRadio #1: Eddy Elfenbein, Mr. CrossingWallStreet.com

Posted by Timothy Sykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 02:04:21 PM

Financial blogging has only been around for ages a few years, but already the cream has risen to the top. In my first TIMRadio podcast, I was fortunate enough to be joined by a prime example of that cream, Mr. Eddy Elfenbein, better known by his still-getting-better-by-the-day blog CrossingWallStreet.com. Have a listen and hear us talk about everything from edge-lacking market predictions and Eddy’s old microcap newsletter to my inability to be very outgoing or self-promotional

CrossingWallStreet.com Click here to listen to the interview

Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 12:20:54 PM

Overview of the new site…talking photos and all (seriously)!

Welcome To The New TimothySykes.com, Kinda Like Super Shredder

Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 12:13:53 PM

Welcome to my new website! Check out the official PR…this is three months of hard work baby and its really brought me back to my pyramid-building days…tons of cool features—por ejemplo, click and drag on any of the sections like TIM101 and you can rearrange their position to suit your preferences, vertically—for now

[poll=5]

Understand this is just the ground floor because as you can see, there’s a dozen+ projects goin’ on here, all in an effort to make this stuff more fun, understandable and ultimately help you become more profitable. Over the next few days and weeks, I’ll be going over each new section in detail, but for now, here’s a little breakdown of everything:

Bucks
Rewards for your thoughts—now every time you post or comment you get a TIMbuck, talkin’ with sponsors of all sorts right now, we’ll have a whole list of goodies shortly, wouldn’t it be cool if you post a good pick, and everybody profited and gave you so many TIMbucks that you could cash in your chips to get 50 free trades from GFT? That’s the plan anyway…

101
Where Real Traders Begin—you know all those beginner-type questions? Yah, they all get answered here, got plenty of articles in the works, everything from reading level 2 and my fav. books for beginners to…well, stuff like that…also you can see ALL the details of my trades, good and bad, I wish everybody in this industry would do

Reads
Reading is FUNdamental—bringin’ my whole library back to 1 page, only about a quarter of them on there now, good things take time

Reviews
The toughest critic around—no more 1-2 line answers, name any US stock and I’ll do a full analysis-technical, fundamental and everything else—for $20/ticker, for entertainment purposes only of course (happy you SEC bastards!?!?!), let’s see how this goes

Tv
Real. Fun. Really Funny—just the beginning, got soooo many ideas, just gotta clone myself to find the time to film them all, new clips—not necessarily just me—will be rolled out each day, stuff that’s gonna make you laugh, cry and most importantly, occupy you so you won’t be tempted to trade every damn pattern!

Terms
Nothing but the truth—an accurate financial/trading glossary, not like the one put out by those morons at Investopedia who say it’s impossible to short sell penny stocks and cannot account for my existence or my profits
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Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 09:26:47 AM

Hot Stocks To Watch! for today May 1, nothing ideal…yet

Why Dennis Gartman Is A Classy Pump And Dumper & Some Other Hot Stocks

Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 09:22:51 AM

COIN
Yup, that old “classy” pump and dumper Dennis Gartman is at it again—re-adding this company with ZERO revenues (and even though they have PRs for everything including partnering with charities but can’t seem to find the time to put out ANY quarterly earnings PRs!)….last time he recommended this in Barorns right around the same price, the stock spiked and he admittedly sold into that strength, c’mon Garty, do your little song and dance routine again so you can pump and dump one more time! (SEC: I gotta remind you underpaid overworked fellas that original Barrons article was such a blatant case of stock manipulation—COIN was the only stock under $1 billion in marketcap). At least true bottom of the barrel penny pumpers don’t hide what they really are—they know they are scum—Gartman does—that makes him a typical industry villain!

Shorts don’t even think about it yet, yes, you might be able to scalp it, but never underestimate a scam of a company whose charts has now determinedly bottomed at $8 and $9…just not much downside here…short-term at least

BSHF
Totally screwed this one up yesterday, went short into a morning dip, looking for an outright panic, didn’t get it, 2 hours too early, seriously, so close, covered for a $90 loss…detailed post coming…when you know you have a busy day, just don’t trade—99 times out of 100, trading takes priority, but since launching this new site today was non-negotiable (and as you can see we’ve still got a ton of bugs to work out), wasting a day watching this stock wasn’t an option…stupid trade, even if it is a great example of how well shorting spa stocks works

PWSV
A spam stock breaking out higher…great example of why I take my profits quickly and don’t stick around to wait for hte FBI to bust in (they’re slow)

VM
To prevent me from trading—yes, it really is that much of an addiction—I turned my trading software off yesterday afternoon, missing this stunning beauty of fader…never say my readers ain’t smart, resident wise ass Ben Bien nailed this in the TIMforums before it dropped big–too bad he didn’t have a Thinkorswim account to short it though! Brand the chart below into your brains. Summary: solid multi-day runner, big-time short squeeze/rumors yesterday, you wanna short when that squeeze starts to fade (although I don’t like rumor stocks), in the afternoon when it cracks the $4.60 range

vm Why Dennis Gartman Is A Classy Pump And Dumper & Some Other Hot Stocks

LNG
Another stock I missed rolling over, over the painnnnnnnnn

GST
Strong little sucker, remember, don’t even think about shorting until you see the whites of their eyes!

CDY
Spiked a few weeks ago, retraced, now it’s spiking even higher…gotta be careful with these, already sucked/squeezed a few short sellers out there

KTCC
Up on strong earnings, sure there might be some retracing going on, but I don’t short small stocks that put up big earnings, obviously the odds of giant success are still against them, but they’re putting up a good fight

TIM 6 Month Review: Earn 47% While The Markets Drop 10%

Posted by timothysykes on Thu 1st of May, 2008 02:57:15 AM

Yup, that’s right, tiny, loud mouthed, mistake-celebrating TIM just busted a cap in the ass of the joke that is the financial industry by implementing my own brand of PennyStocking, or short selling penny stocks, a niche that’s supposedly random/akin to gambling and according to Forbes’ oh so popular Investopedia, in their definition of short selling, impossible to short sell! Screw them, the graph below says it all:

timchart TIM 6 Month Review: Earn 47% While The Markets Drop 10%

Maybe in the future more attention will be paid to this accurate definition of short selling—written by somebody who’s made millions from this strategy instead of some wannabe who’s just the latest journalist joker…you guys remember Sri, the theater major over at CNBC (fired yet?) and TheStreet.com guy who wrote about a product the company had already sold (fired yet?)! How could we forget—after all, their jokes have been very profitable for me and my readers.

Sorry, I digress—my blood is boiling from the amount of misinformation out there—this is a time for celebration and review. After all, while I made plenty of mistakes, a 47% return in 6 months is something to be proud of. So, take a look at all the most important posts during this journey, I promise, no matter what Investopedia says, this strategy is alive and well, legal and learnable (and to you haters, just wait until you see what I can do when I no longer have to deal with the pattern day trader rules, I plan my speaking schedule better and I’m not building a revolutionary new website…when TIM reaches $100k, it’s gonna be damn fun shutting you up as I make $50k+ in 6 months):

Successes:

Shorting Into A Factually Inaccurate Article

How I Made An 8% Return Before Lunch

How I Made 25% Just By Holding A Distinct Pattern Overnight

Why My Strategy Works Even For Stupid People

God, I Love Short Selling Penny Stocks!

Redemption Trade

Failures:

A Truly Amateur Trade
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TIM Trades

View All
Date Stock Buy Sell Net
Sept 25 SIL $2.65 $2.98 $640
Sept 25 QCOR $6.98 $7.05 $47
Sept 24 SIL $3.17 $3.53 $700
Sept 24 SIL $3.66 $4.06 $777
Sept 23 MKTY $1.79 $1.95 $465

Total: $28,870 (133%)

TIM Alerts

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Date Stock Position Ideal Exit % Gain
Sept 25 SIL Short $2.60 13%
Sept 25 QCOR Buy $7.15 2%
Sept 24 SIL Short $2.60 26%
Sept 23 MKTY Short $1.65 15%

August: 4 alerts, 19% avg gain

Sept: 10 alerts, 16% avg gain